8/18: Ellis Park ($92k P5 C/O); Saratoga (6th-10th)

[Kasept]

ELLIS PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD Hi-5)

Most Likely: #8 Fancy Looker 7-2 WON ($7.04)
Next Best Value: #10 Winsome Beauty 9-2 3rd
Best Value: #11 Sistina Chapel 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Maturity Date 5-2 10th


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #6 Floored 4-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Charlottesapproval 3-1 9th
Best Value: #7 The Big Banshee 15-1 11th
Exotics Use: #4 Courbe 7-2 WON ($10.72)


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 10f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Jedrek 5th
Next Best: #7 King Curlin 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Idratherbeblessed 2nd


8th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #11 Fast N Happy 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Pumpkin Scone 7-5 WON ($3.66)
Exotics Use: #7 Sugar Boo 20-1 5th
Super Add: #5 Spelterini 4-1 6th


9th: MCLM/$16k, 3+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Left Pocket Money 30-1 10th
Next Best: #4 Spuns Son 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Absolute Courage 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Sapelo Sound 6-1 11th
Hi-5 Play: #1 Midnight Channel 12-1 WON ($23.90)


P5 Grid:

5: 8-10 (A), 2-11 (B), - (C)
6: 1-6 (A), 4-7-9 (B), - (C)
7: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-3-5 (C)
8: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-5 (A), - (B), 1-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x2x2x2 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backups: 2x2x3x2x2 48 x .50 = $24 (1-3-5 in 7th) + 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24 (1-7-10 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-6-7 (A), 4-9 (B), - (C)
7: 1-2-7 (A), 3-5 (B), - (C)
8: 3-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-5 (A), - (B), 1-7-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x2x2 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A's: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: 3x3x2x3 = 54 x .50 = $27 (1-7-10 in 9th)



SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 1m-OFF/TURF (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Frozen Four 8th
Best Value: #6 Eric From Miami 3rd
Next Best: #3 Dancing Mischief WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #7 Khadullah 2nd


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Speed Bias (!) 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Bourbon Calling 12-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Red Run 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Costa Terra 9-5 2nd


8th: Skipmore, 2yo, 5.5f-OFF/TURF (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Seize the Grey 3rd
Next Best: #2 Ship Cadet WON ($6.90)
Exotics Use: #10 Go Otto Go 5th
Super Add: #13 Antonio of Venice 6th


9th: CLM, 4+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #9 Wendell Fong 8-1 5th
Next Best: #5 Happy Farm 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Prisoner 7-2 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #1 Seven Nation Army 8-1 2nd


10th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-OFF/TURF

Most Likely: #1 Rally Squirrel 6th
Next Best: #11 Cut the Cord WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #3 Bourbon Chase 2nd
Exotics Use: #14 Asymmetric 4th


P5 Grid:

6: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-4 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C)
8: 2-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 5-9 (A), 2 (B), - (C)
10: 1-11 (A), - (B), 3-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (3-14 in 10th)


P4 Grid:

7: 3-4 (A), 2-5 (B), - (C)
8: 2-4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-11 (A), - (B), 3-14 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-14 in 10th)


Good luck!
Steve