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#1
05-01-2018, 10:54 AM
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5/5/18 ~ Kentucky Derby (1 1/4M) Churchill Downs
1. Firenze Fire 39 (Mr. Amore Stable) Jason Servis/Paco Lopez (50-1) 2. Free Drop Billy 44 (Albaugh Family) Dale Romans/Robby Albarado (30-1) 3. Promises Fulfilled 52 (Robert Baron) Dale Romans/Corey Lanarie (30-1) 4. Flameaway-$ 70 (John Oxley) Mark Casse/Jose Lezcano (30-1) 5. Audible 110 (China Horse, Head/Plains, Starlight, WinStar) Todd Pletcher/Javier Castellano (8-1) 6. Good Magic 134 (e Five, Stonestreet) Chad Brown/Jose Ortiz (12-1) 7. Justify 100 (China Horse, Head/Plains, Starlight, WinStar) Bob Baffert/Mike Smith (3-1) 8. Lone Sailor 42 (G M B Racing) Tom Amoss/James Graham (50-1) 9. Hofburg 40 (Juddmonte) Bill Mott/Irad Ortiz Jr. (20-1) 10. My Boy Jack 52 (Don’t Tell My Wife, Monomoy) Keith Desormeaux/Kent Desormeaux (30-1) 11. Bolt d’Oro 104 (Ruis Racing) Mick Ruis/Victor Espinoza (8-1) 12. Enticed 103 (Godolphin) Kiaran McLaughlin/Junior Alvarado (30-1) 13. Bravazo 54 (Calumet Farm) D. Wayne Lukas/Luis Contreras (50-1) 14. Mendelssohn 100 (Coolmore) Aidan O’Brien/Ryan Moore (5-1) 15. Instilled Regard 29 (Oxo Equine/Larry Best) Jerry Hollendorfer/Drayden Van Dyke (50-1) 16. Magnum Moon 150 (Lawana & Robert Low) Todd Pletcher/Luis Saez (6-1) 17. Solomini 54 (Zayat Stables, Coolmore) Bob Baffert/Flavien Prat (30-1) 18. Vino Rosso 107 (Repole, St. Elias) Todd Pletcher/John Velazquez (12-1) 19. Noble Indy 110 (WinStar, Repole) Todd Pletcher/Florent Geroux (12-1) 20. Combatant 32 (Winchell, Willis Horton) Steve Asmussen/Ricardo Santana (30-1) 21/AE. Blended Citizen-$ 22 (Greg Hall, SAYJAY Racing/Steve Young) Doug O’Neill/Kyle Frey (50-1)
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. 
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#2
05-01-2018, 11:43 AM
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Looks like post position draw was good for all the contenders.
Early thoughts A group Magnum Moon- Pletcher is loaded for bear this year and I feel this one is his best. Ran green in last race but still put in a dominating performance and the sky is the limit on this one. Can sit off the pace and run them down on the stretch. Expecting a huge effort and break of the Apollo curse. Audible - Another Pletcher horse with big potential in this race. Not a pace dependent horse as he stalked in one of his wins. However still should get a nice pace setup and be tough in the last quarter. B Group Bolt D'Oro - Horse is one tough sob and continues to throw in triple figure beyers. Leave off your tickets especially exotics at your own risk Vino Rosso - Horse keeps getting better and Pletcher will have him ready. Feel his a slight bit under Moon and Audible but is a threat running late and at 12-1 a nice value play Justify - Horse can win but feel its had three races all go his way and small fields. Baffert gets his horses ready but this will be by far his toughest test with the speed inside and just don't feel the horse can hold on against the other top horses here. Will still be on my ticket as you can't leave Baffert horses off but like others much better. C Group Good Magic - 2-year old champ starting to show flashes and is training very nicely. Going to have to run much better though to beat this field and have mixed feelings about his chances. May add to ticket if I can afford but am siding with others Mendelssohn - Romped his first dirt race but lets face it he didn't beat anything in that race. True wildcard. Feeling he will get caught up in the pace. I always stay away from these invaders in the derby and will here. Will let him beat me.
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#3
05-01-2018, 12:40 PM
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#4
05-01-2018, 02:26 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
05-01-2018, 02:30 PM
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Any word on where Salty and Awesome Slew are going to run? I see them both cross-entered.
Thanks in advance Steve!
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"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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#6
05-01-2018, 02:39 PM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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