5/30: Belmont Park (4th-9th)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

You need to defend against #9 Margaret Lilian (7-2) who has a pace edge on the front end, but coming off a layoff, let's try to beat her out of the top slots..

Most Likely: #4 Quiet Ending 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Effie Trinket 12-1 WON ($17.80)
Next Best: #1 Lisini 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #6 Nice Stuff 6-1 9th


5th: CLM, F&M-3+, 7f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Really well-matched group. Plenty of pace on to balance out the style opportunities..

Best Value: #9 Buckingham Bull 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Implied 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Let the Kitten Run 5-1 4th
Super Add: #1 Runway Ready 7-2 WON ($10.80)


6th:MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Like the P6 opener Monday, a deep and tricky MDN group. May need to count on Hushion entry to keep P4 expense down, but Violette firster Defined Benefit comes from a nice stakes family, Mareina 2nd time starter Work N Flirt was expected to win at Gulfstream debut and Chad Brown returnee (28% W's with 2nd out runners) Lyrical Diva was $400k Mandy Pope purchase. Pletcher has FTS Comare and Coronel/Bortolozzo chestnut Henny Luvs Shrimp hasn't embarrassed herself in initial 2 outings..

Most Likely: #1e Hushion entry 4-1 WON ($6.10)/3rd
Best Value: #8 Defined Benefit 6-1 4th (3rd for wagering)
Next Best: #2 Work N Flirt 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Lyrical Diva 8-1 7th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

As discussed with Andy Serling Tuesday, a terrific group. Covello's 9x winning Screenplay may be Stephen Got Even's best turf progeny..

Most Likely: #3 Screenplay 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #5 Hangover Kid 8-1 WON ($23.60)
Exotics Use: #1 Mia Poppy 6-1 4th
Super Add: #4 Tattenham 3-1 5th


8th: ALW/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (DD)

Most Likely: #3 White Rose 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #4 South Shore 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Midnight Watch 4-1 WON ($7.90)
Super Add: #8 Tabreed 5-2 5th


9th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f-T

This may be wide open and a scrambler, but Mr. G Zee is out of Peach Flambe and may leap forward on the lawn. Gets slight upgrade in pilot with Rosario taking over from young Coa and should be winging up front with addition of goggles. Wire to window..

Best Value: #7 MR. G ZEE 6-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Dark Roast WON ($13.60)
Exotics Use: #12 Acigarisjustacigar 15-1 10th
Super Add: #8 My Teddy Bear 20-1 10th

.10 SUPER: 7 with 4-12 with 3-4-5-8-9-10-12 with 3-4-5-8-9-10-12 (1x2x6x5 = 60 x .1 = $6.00)


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-5-6-8
7: 1-3-5
8: 3-4-5-7-8
9: 7

5x3x5x1 = 75 x .50 = $37.50


Good luck!
Steve