Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 09-27-2006, 08:29 PM
2MinsToPost's Avatar
2MinsToPost 2MinsToPost is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,760
Default I Got 7-1 On Lava, Thanks Mom

on this future ticket from Vegas. $50 Win.

I have been and always will be with the Lava Man wagon. Till not hitting the board in November due us part, cause then I owe a certain someone $100.

Long Live Lava...............
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 09-28-2006, 12:03 AM
DiscreetCat=Monster's Avatar
DiscreetCat=Monster DiscreetCat=Monster is offline
Ak-Sar-Ben
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 684
Lightbulb

should of put it here at least you would of got something even if it was just a warm feeling in your heart!

http://sfreporter.com/artman/uploads...y-donation.jpg
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 09-28-2006, 02:53 AM
pba1817 pba1817 is offline
Hawthorne
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 541
Default

Future bet are about as stupid of a bet as they come, I do not care what odds are being paid, or what sport you are betting on.

Good Luck!!!!
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 09-28-2006, 07:08 AM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

Flushing money down the toilet on Lava.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 09-28-2006, 07:10 AM
randallscott35's Avatar
randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
Idlewild Airport
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: USA
Posts: 9,687
Default

And I would say getting 100-1 on Sweetnorth in Feb and 125-1 on AP Warrior in March shows that playing futures can payoff. Didn't win, but that is serious value, and if you can do that a hundred times you will end up in the black.

But 7-1 on any kind of future just isn't the thing to do.
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 09-28-2006, 07:18 AM
Pointg5 Pointg5 is offline
Sheepshead Bay
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Cincinnati, Ohio
Posts: 1,096
Default

7-1 are decent odds on LM, he probaby goes to post at 4-1 or 5-1, so if you really like him, you are getting a little value. I don't know if the difference between getting a premium of 7-1 over 5-1 is enough to offset the risk of getting in the gate and post position is enough to accept that 2 point spread, but if he goes off at a 3 point spread, that's not too bad. I give LM a shot, you know CD will have that track rock hard and he will probably like it. Good Luck Curt, that's a nice present...
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 09-28-2006, 08:47 AM
Gander Gander is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 5,336
Default

I see Lava Man going off as the 3rd choice at around 6/1 in the BC Classic (if all 3 horses go- LM, Bern and Invasor). Thats the absolute lowest I see on him come post time. If he runs a clunker next weekend or wins unimpressively, he may be as high as 8/1 or 9/1. Your not even sure he will make the trip to the BC, he could get sick or hurt or owner just may change his mind (doubtful but possible).

I'm with Randall on the 7/1 being a very value-less bet, but if indeed he wins and pays right around the same or a little higher, than its a nice cash.

You never know, Bernardini and or Invasor could also get sick or hurt and not make the start in the BC too, which would greatly enhance his chances of winning (especially Bern).
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 09-28-2006, 09:46 AM
eurobounce
 
Posts: n/a
Default

I think you would get better than 7-1 on Lava Man in the Breeders Cup Classic.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 09-28-2006, 09:48 AM
2MinsToPost's Avatar
2MinsToPost 2MinsToPost is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,760
Default

Yeah myself I am done playing futures. Just a gift and a nice one at that.
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 09-28-2006, 10:55 AM
Bold Reasoning
 
Posts: n/a
Default

Good luck with Lava Man. He is a great, great Slew.
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 01:01 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.