KEE (Fri.): Darley Alcibiades (Gr. I)

[miraja2]

I thought Dreaming of Liz looked pretty strong in her last two starts at Arlington. Unfortunately for her, the draw means that she has absolutely NO chance in here. I assume that her connections will just scratch her when they realize they drew the dreaded # 2.


9th (5:15)
Darley Alcibiades S. (G1)

1 1/16 Miles (All Weather Track) | Fillies | 2 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $500,000

Post # Horse Jockey Weight Claim Price Equip. Med.
1 Initiation Gomez G K 118 L
2 Dreaming of Liz Baird E T 118 L
3 Morakami Castellano J J 118 L
4 Irish Smoke Leparoux J R 118 L
5 Minewander Melancon L 118 L
6 French Kiss Johnson J M 118 L
7 Startswampindowski Bridgmohan S X 118 L
8 Bee's Wax Douglas R R 118 L
9 Grace Anatomy Smith M E 118 L
10 Country Star Bejarano R 118 L
11 Rasierra Theriot H J II 118 LA
12 A to the Croft Desormeaux K J 118 L
13 Sunday Holiday Albarado R J 118 LA

[Bobby Fischer]

she might get out easy if the jockeys play the early fractions slow

[avance2000]

Originally Posted by miraja2

Unfortunately for her, the draw means that she has absolutely NO chance in here. I assume that her connections will just scratch her when they realize they drew the dreaded # 2.

wtf?

[Holland Hacker]

Originally Posted by avance2000

wtf?

See the thread for "The Key to Betting Polly Track"

http://www.kentucky.com/302/story/190185.html

[miraja2]

I am not sure which way I am going yet, but I think it makes sense to take a stand against Irish Smoke here. She looked better than these at Saratoga, but if she is anywhere close to her 2/1 ml, I think you have to try to beat a horse with her pedigree trying two-turns and 8.5f for the first time. Toss in the fact that she is trying poly for the first time, and I think you almost have to look elsewhere.
I'm just not sure where yet.
Past Performances: http://www.brisnet.com/bris_link/pdfs/darley_89710.pdf

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by miraja2

I am not sure which way I am going yet, but I think it makes sense to take a stand against Irish Smoke here. She looked better than these at Saratoga, but if she is anywhere close to her 2/1 ml, I think you have to try to beat a horse with her pedigree trying two-turns and 8.5f for the first time. Toss in the fact that she is trying poly for the first time, and I think you almost have to look elsewhere.
I'm just not sure where yet.
Past Performances: http://www.brisnet.com/bris_link/pdfs/darley_89710.pdf

I want to see Catalano win another Juvenile Fillies, so I'm obviously rooting for Dreaming of Liz in here, even after factoring in the inevitable failure that's going to ensue once she breaks from Hell Lane aka 2.

[ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by brianwspencer

I want to see Catalano win another Juvenile Fillies, so I'm obviously rooting for Dreaming of Liz in here, even after factoring in the inevitable failure that's going to ensue once she breaks from Hell Lane aka 2.

i think she'll fail not cause of the dreaded 2 hole, but because her runstyle doesn't suit keeneland routes. to win this she'll have to be much better than the rest. maybe she is but i'm leaning against.
not sure who i'll play yet but Irish Smoke sure was a visually impressive winner at Saratoga.

[GBBob]

Originally Posted by brianwspencer

I want to see Catalano win another Juvenile Fillies, so I'm obviously rooting for Dreaming of Liz in here, even after factoring in the inevitable failure that's going to ensue once she breaks from Hell Lane aka 2.

Anyone know why Alberado and not ET has the ride?