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  #1  
Old 07-03-2006, 07:09 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by saratoga chuck
just a quick shout out for a great day of handicaping- singled the 5 in the last to trim my ticket- wired by smitty?????????? go figure

maybe have some fireworks for you at Belmont tomorrow - Marquet Desire in the 2nd!

late
Chuck..

My pleasure.. Thx. I'm glad you did well. There were some nice numbers off the 4th and 7th especially... I'll hop on Marquet tomorrow!
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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  #2  
Old 07-07-2006, 06:11 AM
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Default BEL: 7/7/06 P6 Carryover

While we would love to have continued the holiday break until next week or at least the Saturday Stakes, having the extra two days to look at the Friday Belmont Carryover card proved irresistable.

The four day July 4th cap-fest ended on a high note with alternating performances between Friday night at Prairie Meadows and Monday at Belmont. Friday and Sunday were lousy, Saturday and Monday were great... Hope you picked the "right" days to play along with us!

This afternoon's Belmont P6 comes up quite tough with four turf events, two being state bred maiden specials... We're not entirely sure the P6 is "worth" playing, even with the $81,000 pool coming, as the individual races look very attractive as stand alone wagering opportunities, but we'll provide a bargain play anyhow...


SELECTIONS -- BEL, 7/7 (R4-9)

4: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T

1. #1 Wicked Love 6-1: Gets GoGo; Paired last and should move forward
2. #6 Sweet Corredor 4-1: Showed marked improvement 1st sod, off break
A. #5 Zip Stream 12-1: Much better on lawn; Has posted poor last 4
B. #10 Clear Heels 20-1: Grabbing tote on another much better turfing

NOTE: #4 Fairytale Story (2-1) is obvious here and needs to be used in your multis, but may be vulnerable off the layoff...


5: Clm, 4+, 9f-IT

1. #1 Victory Circle 6-1: May not like warming Serpe above, but do here
2. #6 Mikethemoondog 9-2: Cross out off turf try and Tagg trainee fits
A. #2e Contessa entry 9-2: Hard to ignore Gallopin' Gary with Corny, Eibar
B. #9 Jockey's Dream 4-1: Frankel takes off blinks, puts on Gomez

NOTE: #8 Peace Emblem is a use if he goes.. Scratch candidate for Saturday try..

LONGSHOT WATCH: #5 Stage Classic (30-1) is part of rebuilding Pederson's string, and though long in the tooth, has back figs that make him competitive for tote boost underneath if Jen has him dialed in. Capable conditioner likely out to prove herself anew, and finds Jara for this opp...


6: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f

1. #4 Little Miss Zip 2-1: Best on paper and likely in flesh for Puglisi, Klesaris
2. #6 What's Your Point 9-2: Highly-skilled Pecararo tabs Johnny V (50% J-T)
A. #1 Girl in Uniform 3-1: Purdy-bred came back nice in slop romp for Rice
B. #8 Cassette Case 6-1: Consistent check earner for Lake rarely off board


7: Clm, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

1. #6 Town Charmer 6-1: Lost Pablo last time; Most likely to "run her race"
2. #9 Loves to Peak 6-1: Contessa 17% with new trainees; gets Morales
A. #3 Brooke Haley 10-1: Tony D. goes to Johnny V., a rare request
B. #1 Diana Rose 10-1: My man Sciacca having good meet; Exotics booster

NOTE: #4 Classic Expression (5-2) adds another element to what makes this a hard P6. Like Fairytale Story, comes back at a low tab and while capable and a multi race-must use, appears beatable.


8: The Ziggy's Boy (L), $65,000, 3yo's, 6f

1. #4 Fabulous Strike 5-2: Philly Flash accounted well in Gr. I Woody
2. #6 Urban Guy 6-1: Tried in Gr. III Jacobs; Tough in this type of stake
3. #5 Luxembourg 3-1: Game third to Bernardini in Gr. III Withers

NOTE: #1 Saint Daimon (7-2) wheels back in 6 days, classic Allen Jerkens move, after viewing Henny Hughes' tail from 10 in the Gr. III Jersey Shore.


9: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T

1. #5 Saturday's Cat 6-1: Romans been trying to get Purdy-bred onto lawn
2. #1 Gold Key 3-1: Note Sacco blew out debut placer in mud; Shows intent
A. #4 Not on My Turf 7-2: Potential fave 2nd in lone turf try; Hill to Gomez
B. #9 One Goodnight 8-1: Hertler-Jara solid together; Red has sought sod

LONGSHOT ALERT: #7 Anxious Contender (30-1): Good 'ol Mike Shevy can spring upsets, and repeat of this Flying Zee-bred's September '05 mud-to-turf effort could put him in the super at a likely huge number.

NOTE: Should #12 Conrad's Crossing draw in, Hauswald gelding becomes an immediate player for all the money.


Bargain P6 Play:

4: 1-4-5-6
5: 1-6
6: 1-4-6
7: 6
8: 4-6
9: 5

4x2x3x1x2x1 = 48 x $2 = $96


$5 Grand Slam:

5: 1
6: 4
7: 6
8: 1-4-5-6

1x1x1x4 = 4 x $5 = $20


$1 P4:

6: 1-4-6
7: 3-4-6-9
8: 4
9: 1-4-5-9

3x4x1x4 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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  #3  
Old 07-07-2006, 03:43 PM
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Default Why the individual can be greater than the whole..

A $540 Super and $180 Tri to start the afternoon.. As suggested, the individual races in this sequence may be more lucrative than trying for the big score... To quote Joe Jackson, "so there goes your proof.." Key here obviously was including the 22-1 exotics booster Zip Stream (5)..
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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  #4  
Old 07-07-2006, 04:13 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
A $540 Super and $180 Tri to start the afternoon.. As suggested, the individual races in this sequence may be more lucrative than trying for the big score... To quote Joe Jackson, "so there goes your proof.." Key here obviously was including the 22-1 exotics booster Zip Stream (5)..
wow your long shot just busted out the pick 6 congrats
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  #5  
Old 07-07-2006, 04:13 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
We're not entirely sure the P6 is "worth" playing, even with the $81,000 pool coming, as the individual races look very attractive as stand alone wagering opportunities..

5: Clm, 4+, 9f-IT

1. #1 Victory Circle 6-1: May not like warming Serpe above, but do here
2. #6 Mikethemoondog 9-2: Cross out off turf try and Tagg trainee fits
A. #2e Contessa entry 9-2: Hard to ignore Gallopin' Gary with Corny, Eibar
B. #9 Jockey's Dream 4-1: Frankel takes off blinks, puts on Gomez

LONGSHOT WATCH: #5 Stage Classic (30-1) is part of rebuilding Pederson's string, and though long in the tooth, has back figs that make him competitive for tote boost underneath if Jen has him dialed in. Capable conditioner likely out to prove herself anew, and finds Jara for this opp...
And more proof that this was a good day to focus on the races and not the P6, though it will not surprise me a lick if there are many still alive after this 39-1 score by Jara. If I noticed this horse, the deep ticket slicksters certainly did..
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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  #6  
Old 07-07-2006, 04:18 PM
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really expected more from the two ...choked down then a wide run

Last edited by hoovesupsideyourhead : 07-07-2006 at 04:27 PM.
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  #7  
Old 07-07-2006, 04:31 PM
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With the way they went up front, no one behind the Frankel had a shot... Heady ride by Jara who seemed to give Stage Classic a breather mid-race. Winner's back figs utterly fit with these...
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #8  
Old 07-07-2006, 04:45 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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Tomorrow's Pick-6 is IMPOSSIBLE and I challenge anyone to hit it for under $2K. And it is probably very tough for $5K.

I am alive 2 x 1 x 2 for 5!
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  #9  
Old 07-07-2006, 05:32 PM
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Default VALUE ALERT.. 7 mtp BEL...

Urban Guy (#6) at 7-1 in the BEL feature is insane value... The Philly flash still the likely winner (#4), but he's 4-5 and Urban Guy is RIGHT THERE with him... Plunge..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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Old 07-07-2006, 06:21 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
9: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T

1. #5 Saturday's Cat 6-1: Romans been trying to get Purdy-bred onto lawn
2. #1 Gold Key 3-1: Note Sacco blew out debut placer in mud; Shows intent
A. #4 Not on My Turf 7-2: Potential fave 2nd in lone turf try; Hill to Gomez
B. #9 One Goodnight 8-1: Hertler-Jara solid together; Red has sought sod

LONGSHOT ALERT: #7 Anxious Contender (30-1): Good 'ol Mike Shevy can spring upsets, and repeat of this Flying Zee-bred's September '05 mud-to-turf effort could put him in the super at a likely huge number.
Put this 60-1 shot in your watch list... Three wide ALL THE WAY AROUND and looked like he got nosed for fourth... Will be a big price again next time and hits the board with an inside draw...

Assuming there's a carryover...
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #11  
Old 07-07-2006, 06:26 PM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
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No, it was hit amazingly. Both the winner and best horse, obviously the 5, were live. Plus the absurd 1 and 9.

Still hunting for Greg Sacco horses to bet?
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Old 07-07-2006, 07:04 PM
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Steve: you are SERIOUSLY hot!! Got to be a good thing when you're in your ZONE Nice Job Looking forward to your insight on the weekends' cards!
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  #13  
Old 07-08-2006, 08:21 AM
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Default BELMONT: 7/8 (5th-10th)

A quality day at Belmont Friday despite whiffing on the multi-race plays... As suggested yesterday, the P6 was too arduous with the individual races looking more appealing as individual betting opportunities. That proved correct with some great prices flying around including our 5th race longshot alert play Stage Classic who lit the tote for an $81 win price! Gary Sciacca won yet again, this time with Diana Rose who paid $18.80 in the 11 horse 7th. Details below today's selections...

Saturday has the Gr. I Prioress, and we're all over KMc's Capote's Crown and Jimmy Ryerson's Livermore Valley there... I didn't bother with the embarassing Hollywood stakes where ther Swaps drew 4 and the Gold Cup 5. It's pathetic.

The United Nations got in under the Jersey budget wrangling wire, and we glance at the famed race that used grace this country's best grass course at Atlantic City...

Enjoy what looks like a beautiful summer day!
Steve


SELECTIONS -- BELMONT, 7/8 (R5-9)

A very contentious card todat at Big Sandy.. Spread wide and don't be afraid of long prices.. they're your friend!


5th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f

7 firsters and a consistent quitter in likely fave Endless Virtue...

1. #1 Mrs. Anna B 7-2: Terranova's fast a.m. Five Star Day (24% FTS) bay
2. #9 April Storm 4-1: Clement unveils Overbrook Storm Cat homebred
A. #5 Morning Jewel 12-1: KMc bay by Awesome Again from Adena
B. #6 Endless Virtue 5-2: 8/0-5-2 record says underneath only


6th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT

1. #5 My Apology 3-1: Lightly raced Dutrow gelding cuts back from 9 to 6
2. #8 Strikeuptheblues 5-2: Bush bay chased winners; 10 hole cost him last
A. #1 Almaviva 6-1: Thunder Rumble colt popped, stopped first lawn try
B. #4 General Congress 10-1: Lostrito bay's two best efforts came on lawn

LONGSHOT ALERT: #3 Quite Continental (15-1) makes 16th start and showed signs of life off long break last out in Philly. Krebs hits 22% 2nd of layoffs...


7th: MSW, 3+, 6f-IT

1. #3 Kal El 5-1: 4yo Kelly Kip son perked up in grass bow; Wire job?
2. #2 Mach Three 6-1: 2nd Clement-Overbrook of day makes it a close shave
A. #1 Kingoftheknight 4-1: Stone closer from Dutrow may not get ideal set up
B. #6 Thought Leader 5-2: Saint Ballado red now with Godolphin; Away a year

LONGSHOT ALERT: Dizney-bred/owned #7 American Revolution from Mott is overlaid like crazy at 12-1... Has drilled 26f stoutly since 5/20 comebacker, and isn't far off top tabs at top of game... Use.


8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f

1. #2 Cool Spring Saint 3-1: Hard to get past stalking Levine-Coa candidate
2. #6 Moon's Halo 9-2: West Point bay chased Samurai, Exc. Qual, Songster
A. #9 Strummer 15-1: Tote atttractive on Bush NY-bred Winkfield winner
B. #8 Azul Da Guanabara 8-1: Brazilian via Dubai gets Lasix; Drilling sharp


9th: PRIORESS BREEDERS CUP (Gr. I), $250,000, 3yo fillies, 6f

1. #5 Capote's Crown 3-1: Desormeaux gets along great with KMc's BEL lover
2. #8 Livermore Valley 10-1: Grab tab on Ryerson gal never off board career
A. #1 Silvestris 6-1: Albertrani getting sustained efforts from sprinters
B. #4 Wildcat Bettie B 5-1: Must avoid regression, but respect Jones a bunch


10th: NYB-Alw/N1X, 3+, 6f-IT

1. #3 Cozadoro 15-1: Inviting num on cutback player with two best on lawn
2. #4 Bagavond 8-5: Hard to love at odds-on with speed aplenty signed on
A. #7 One Day Soon 15-1: Stunning $ available on closer that jumped on sod
B. #5 Sigh You 10-1: Note two best efforts came turfing; Can sit trip off pace

LONGSHOT ALERT/SUPER ADD-IN: #6 Prince Billy (20-1) would be a helpful addition to the bottom of exotics...


P4 Play:

7: 1-2-3-6-7
8: 2-6
9: 5
10: 3-4-5

5x2x1x3 = $30

Good luck today!
Steve


RESULTS -- BEL, 7/7 (R4-9)

Great start to the day as Zip Stream nabs third at 22-1 making the tri ($187) and Super ($540) work.. The 4 we used in the sextet WAS the Super, and lear Heels was 5th!

4: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T

1. #1 Wicked Love 6-1: 2nd @ 3-1
2. #6 Sweet Corredor 4-1: 4th @ 2-1
A. #5 Zip Stream 12-1: 3rd @ 22-1
B. #10 Clear Heels 20-1: 5th @ 14-1

NOTE: #4 Fairytale Story (2-1) is obvious here and needs to be used in your multis, but may be vulnerable off the layoff: WINS @ 2-1


5: Clm, 4+, 9f-IT

We offered the longshot alert on winner Stage Classic after dropping him from the selections in favor of Bobby Frankel's Jockey's Dream. When asked why we sometimes offer up as many as 5 horses, a race like this is the perfect example...

1. #1 Victory Circle 6-1: 8th @ 5-1
2. #6 Mikethemoondog 9-2: 2nd @ 7-2
A. #2e Contessa entry 9-2: 4th & 6th @ 11-2
B. #9 Jockey's Dream 4-1: 3rd @ 3-1

LONGSHOT WATCH: #5 Stage Classic (30-1) is part of rebuilding Pederson's string, and though long in the tooth, has back figs that make him competitive for tote boost underneath if Jen has him dialed in. Capable conditioner likely out to prove herself anew, and finds Jara for this opp: WINS @ 39-1

EX: $477
TRI: $3,008


6: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f

This one eludes us as Naveah (10-1) runs by our 8-1-4 triple... Cassette Case continues great run of performances runing 2nd. She ever seems to miss hitting the board...

1. #4 Little Miss Zip 2-1: 4th @ 2-1
2. #6 What's Your Point 9-2: 7th @ 4-1
A. #1 Girl in Uniform 3-1: 3rd @ 2-1
B. #8 Cassette Case 6-1: 2nd @ 7-1


7: Clm, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

We bet Our Man Sciacca who wins his 9th of the meet with Diana Rose while in the parking lot at Shea Stadium taking his son to the Mets game! Classic Expression is just a notch below Fairytale Story doing the comeback thing finishing 2nd to nab the decent $111 exacta for you.

1. #6 Town Charmer 6-1: 5th @ 7-1
2. #9 Loves to Peak 6-1: 11th @ 19-1
A. #3 Brooke Haley 10-1: 6th @ 2-1
B. #1 Diana Rose 10-1: WINS @ 17-2

NOTE: #4 Classic Expression (5-2) adds another element to what makes this a hard P6. Like Fairytale Story, comes back at a low tab and while capable and a multi race-must use, appears beatable: 2nd @ 4-1


8: The Ziggy's Boy (L), $65,000, 3yo's, 6f

Philly flash is Fabulous indeed wiring the Ziggy's Boy... This is a quality runner.

1. #4 Fabulous Strike 5-2: WINS @ 4-5
2. #6 Urban Guy 6-1: 4th @ 10-1
3. #5 Luxembourg 3-1: 2nd @ 3-2

NOTE: #1 Saint Daimon (7-2) wheels back in 6 days, classic Allen Jerkens move, after viewing Henny Hughes' tail from 10 in the Gr. III Jersey Shore: 3rd @ 9-1


9: NYB-MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T

Gomez may have been the difference getting a dream trip on winner "Turf", but Romans' Saturday's Cat was likely "best" of this nightcap... A $25 exacta ends the good day, but we were most pleased with another good effort from Longshot Alert candidate Anxious Contender. Mike Shevy's gelding, at 60-1, ran his heart out from the 10 hole three wide all the way around. He couldn't hang on to juice the Super, but is a bet-back with a move to a better post next time.

1. #5 Saturday's Cat 6-1: 2nd @ 5-1
2. #1 Gold Key 3-1: 6th @ 3-1
A. #4 Not on My Turf 7-2: WINS @ 3-2
B. #9 One Goodnight 8-1: 4th @ 10-1

LONGSHOT ALERT: #7 Anxious Contender (30-1): Good 'ol Mike Shevy can spring upsets, and repeat of this Flying Zee-bred's September '05 mud-to-turf effort could put him in the super at a likely huge number: 5th @ 60-1!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #14  
Old 07-08-2006, 12:15 PM
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I Just Read Your Bio On Atrab And Didnt Know You Had Met Joe Namath! He Is My Boyhood Idol And The Best Qb Ever. I Would Like To Ask Him About His Brady Bunch Appearance Show. Keep Picking The Winners, Joe
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Old 07-09-2006, 08:11 AM
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Default BEL: $60K C/O (4th-9th)

An agonizing and frustrating Saturday at Belmont as we were inches away from all kinds of nice hits... There was success, but we didn't take advantage of opportunities like we needed to. The most glaring was the omission of Wild Gams from the Prioress. Silvestris and Capote's Crown (shockingly), were awful, while Wildcat Bettie B (Jonesy strikes again!) and Livermore Valley ran to expectation. Using 'Gams' in the tri box would have produced the $1,500 triple... Ugh.. (Results below Sunday's selections...)

There's a carryover of $63,000, which could have been monsterous had the Friday pool not been surprisingly taken down with the assorted big prices... We don't have a great feeling for this sextet as they feature too many turf races to generate a narrow P6 ticket. Here's a glance at the afternoon's affairs...

(NOTE: The featured 9th today at Churchill is the 1st Bet on Sunshine.. Bet on Sunshine was a great gelding sprinter that was murder at the Downs and finished third in the Breeders Cup Sprint twice (2000, 1997). The performance in the '00 dash at 20-1 helped us nab a $2,100 trifecta when we keyed Kona Gold over Honest Lady, 'Sunny', More Than Ready and Caller One.. the top 5 finishers and a big part of our best day ever at a racetrack... So here's a tip o' the cap to a trouper of a horse who had a great career and is certainly worthy of having a race named in his honor!)


SELECTIONS -- Belmont Park, 7/9/06 (R4-9, P6, P4, P3's, Grand Slam, DD)

4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-IT

1. #10 Left Me Breathless 3-1: Gomez must navigate; red just missed in debut
2. #7 Lemon Drop Cello 5-1: Hoping for better price on new Toner acquisition
A. #6 Averinsky 12-1: Note O'Brien's ITM numbers; Danger on repeat of last
B. #11 Dowell House 7-2: Many have awaited this debut; Draw compromises

LONGSHOT ALERT: #3 PRINCESS GLACKEN 12-1: Not thrilled that Mr. Jerkens goes to Chantal here, though they click 21%, but filly is fast enough if lawn proves to her liking...


5th: ALW/N2X, F&M=3+, 1m-T

1. #7 Masseuse 2-1: Toner again; 'Rooting against' but can't 'stand against'
2. #2 Cologne 4-1: Big try last went for naught; Capable on repeat
A. #5 Quikfire 9-5: Frankel, Juddmonte, Johnny V...
B. #1 (poe) Mpenzi 15-1: Big tab on sneaky Pregman getting 'FTL'


6th: Clm, 4+, 6f

1. #9 Catch My Cat 8-1: Araya enjoying meet; Got off effort out of way last
2. #10 Breezy Way 12-1: Could be part of a good day for Chantal
A. #3 Say Cousin Lenny 3-1: Fan favorite back, now under Levine; Gamer
B. #4 High Stakes Holdem 7-2: Owner Rice returns $75k buy back for $14k


7th: Clm, 3yo, 1m-T

1. #7 Armament 3-1: Focus on grass tries and Harty red looks solid
2. #4 Wood Winner 4-1: Our Man Sciacca terrorizing Hempsted Ave.
A. #9 Smoke'n Cherokee 5-2: Prado stays on MC winner that just missed last
B. #5 Don'tleaveamarc 8-1: Using KO'B again who's hitting board with value

LONGSHOT ALERT: Have an interest in #1a Unbridled Bridel (20-1) who is making turf bow with poor grass debut sire. Colt is absolutely fast enough if Scettino is right about going green..


8th: 42nd LEXINGTON (Gr. III), $100,000, 3yo, 9f-IT

1. #4 To Sender 3-1: Frankel-Juddmonte-Kent; Was wide all way Gr. III last
2. #2 After Market 8-5: Storm Cat colt from Mott-Wygod done nothing wrong
3. #1e Hapsburg-Carnera 2-1: Darley pair will be winging it on front end


9th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T

1. #1 Trick Meeting 9-5: Hate chalk in 9th, but Hough is tough; Can't dawdle
2. #5 Storm N Lightning 12-1: Schosberg gelding perked up in grass return
A. #10 Gimme Credit 8-1: Respect Tim Hills and Artax son can get away soft
B. #6 Super Nationals 9-2: Can't pass bay that hasn't missed Super in 7 tries

LONGSHOT ALERT/SUPER ADD-IN: #9 Himmarshee has spotty record and Disanto struggling. But Vicar red fits with these and has near pace style that could work..


<$100 P6:

4: 6-7-10-11
5: 2-5-7
6: 9-10
7: 7
8: 4
9: 1-10

4x3x2x1x1x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


$5 Grand Slam:

5: 2-7
6: 9
7: 7
8: 2-4

2x1x1x2 = 4 x $5 = $20


$1 P4:

6: 9-10
7: 4-7
8: 2-4
9: 1-5-6-10

2x2x2x4 = $32


RESULTS -- BELMONT, 7/8 (R5-9):

5th: 7 firsters and a consistent quitter in likely fave Endless Virtue, and the quitter got it done by 3 over top choice Mrs. Anna B for the $30 exacta...

1. #1 Mrs. Anna B 7-2: 2nd @ 4-1
2. #9 April Storm 4-1: 6th @ 5-2
A. #5 Morning Jewel 12-1: 5th @ 12-1
B. #6 Endless Virtue 5-2: WINS @ 2-1


6th: Wanted to throw up when I discovered My Apology was a scratch, as winner Dixie Baghdad was next on the list! Strikeup and Longshot Alert Continental come 2nd/3rd for a $128 tri...

1. #5 My Apology 3-1: SCR
2. #8 Strikeuptheblues 5-2: 2nd @ 1-1
A. #1 Almaviva 6-1: 7th @ 5-1
B. #4 General Congress 10-1: 6th @ 19-1

LONGSHOT ALERT: #3 Quite Continental (15-1) makes 16th start and showed signs of life off long break last out in Philly. Krebs hits 22% 2nd of layoffs: 3rd @ 24-1


7th: This was another fist-biter as wiseguy trainer Alan Goldberg puts Winzalot over at 11-1.

1. #3 Kal El 5-1: 2nd @ 9-2
2. #2 Mach Three 6-1: 3rd @ 8-1
A. #1 Kingoftheknight 4-1: 6th @ 5-2
B. #6 Thought Leader 5-2: 9th @ 2-1

LONGSHOT ALERT: Dizney-bred/owned #7 American Revolution from Mott is overlaid like crazy at 12-1... Has drilled 26f stoutly since 5/20 comebacker, and isn't far off top tabs at top of game... Use: 5th @ 11-1


8th: Good run by price 'Azul', but leaving Oz (3rd) out costs the tri...

1. #2 Cool Spring Saint 3-1: 2nd @ 3-2
2. #6 Moon's Halo 9-2: WINS @ 5-1
A. #9 Strummer 15-1: 8th @ 17-1
B. #8 Azul Da Guanabara 8-1: 4th @ 13-1


9th: PRIORESS BREEDERS CUP (Gr. I): Subbing Wild Gams for Silvestris the difference between blah day and hayday...

1. #5 Capote's Crown 3-1: 7th @ 2-1
2. #8 Livermore Valley 10-1: 3rd @ 21-1 (STILL never off board career..)
A. #1 Silvestris 6-1: 8th @ 16-1
B. #4 Wildcat Bettie B 5-1: WINS @ 11-2 (Larry Jones is a hot ticket folks..)


10th: The third head-shaker of the day. I'd been warned that Silver Timber was turf eligible, and not including him was a fatal error as he wins impressively for Mig and Rice at 18-1... We run 2nd, 3rd, 5th and 6th with the obvious Bagavond, Cozadoro courageous on the front end at 18-1, and Longshot Alert player Prince Billy missing the Super by a nose and a half at 50-1... You see why this was an agonizing day...?

1. #3 Cozadoro 15-1: 3rd @ 18-1
2. #4 Bagavond 8-5: 2nd @ 1-1
A. #7 One Day Soon 15-1: 5th @ 21-1
B. #5 Sigh You 10-1: 10th @ 16-1

LONGSHOT ALERT/SUPER ADD-IN: #6 Prince Billy (20-1) would be a helpful addition to the bottom of exotics: 6th @ 50-1
__________________
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #16  
Old 07-09-2006, 09:13 AM
Hickory Hill Hoff's Avatar
Hickory Hill Hoff Hickory Hill Hoff is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: the "Sand Flats"
Posts: 6,903
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Great minds think alike! love your picks today
Do you think Crossword has a "fighters punch" in today's feature?
Also really like Breezy Way in the 6th, the "new" face versus these.
Just wished there was a superfecta in the 5th
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  #17  
Old 07-10-2006, 08:07 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,036
Default RECAP: Belmont Sunday

A solid day of capping Sunday at Belmont but a bad day WAGERING... I brought it to the brink of a $480+ P4 only to let $16 stand in the way of the score leaving Smoke N' Cherokee off the $32 play. The top three in that 7th brought home the exacta and tri box, but a combined $75 payoff was small consolation when $48 would have returned the generous P4...

Here's a recap of Sunday's action...

RESULTS -- Belmont Park, 7/9/06 (R4-9, P6, P4, P3's, Grand Slam, DD)

4th: Frank Alexander's Brouhaha, 16-1, wings it on the front end of the sextet opener and no one can catch Corny V. That starts the day maddeningly as our 1-2-3 tabs are 2-3-4 chasing him!

1. #10 Left Me Breathless 3-1: 2nd @ 3-2Gomez must navigate; red just missed in debut
2. #7 Lemon Drop Cello 5-1: 3rd @ 5-1 Hoping for better price on new Toner acquisition
A. #6 Averinsky 12-1: 4th @ 9-1 Note O'Brien's ITM numbers; Danger on repeat of last
B. #11 Dowell House 7-2: 6th @ 4-1 Many have awaited this debut; Draw compromises

LONGSHOT ALERT: #3 PRINCESS GLACKEN 12-1: 7th @ 19-1 Not thrilled that Mr. Jerkens goes to Chantal here, though they click 21%, but filly is fast enough if lawn proves to her liking...


5th: Prado gets up just in time on our top pick after third choice Quikfire looks like a winner passing the entrymate of our fourth selection late. OK.. we'll take it. $101 tri...

1. #7 Masseuse 2-1:WINS @ 2-1 Toner again; 'Rooting against' but can't 'stand against'
2. #2 Cologne 4-1: 8th @ 5-1 Big try last went for naught; Capable on repeat
A. #5 Quikfire 9-5:2nd @ 2-1 Frankel, Juddmonte, Johnny V...
B. #1 (poe) Mpenzi 15-1: Entrymate 3rd # 24-1 Big tab on sneaky Pregman getting 'FTL'


6th: Catch My Cat tops 'em, but a very disturbing event as the wonderful Say Cousin Lenny breaks down. Had a nice career, was very popular in NY and deserved a better fate than this.

1. #9 Catch My Cat 8-1: WINS @ 5-2 Araya enjoying meet; Got off effort out of way last
2. #10 Breezy Way 12-1: 5th @ 24-1 Could be part of a good day for Chantal
A. #3 Say Cousin Lenny 3-1: Broke down.. RIP Lenny, and thank you! Fan favorite back, now under Levine; Gamer
B. #4 High Stakes Holdem 7-2: SCRATCHED Owner Rice returns $75k buy back for $14k


7th: The aforementioned $75 in exotics comes through, but being "penny wise, pound foolish" queers the "4"... Ugh..

1. #7 Armament 3-1: 2nd @ 3-1 Focus on grass tries and Harty red looks solid
2. #4 Wood Winner 4-1: 3rd @ 4-1 Our Man Sciacca terrorizing Hempsted Ave.
A. #9 Smoke'n Cherokee 5-2: WINS @ 2-1 Prado stays on MC winner that just missed last
B. #5 Don'tleaveamarc 8-1: 5th @ 7-1 Using KO'B again who's hitting board with value

LONGSHOT ALERT: Have an interest in #1a Unbridled Bridel (20-1) 6th @ 37-1 who is making turf bow with poor grass debut sire. Colt is absolutely fast enough if Scettino is right about going green..


8th: 42nd LEXINGTON (Gr. III) -- A very odd run by top choice To Sender who leaves awkwardly, bolts wide into the first turn, then rushes up to set hot fractions and fades. Mott's After Market stays unbeaten, while KMc's Carnera shows he has something going for him with his 2nd Gr. III placement in a row...

1. #4 To Sender 3-1: 4th @ 7-2 Frankel-Juddmonte-Kent; Was wide all way Gr. III last
2. #2 After Market 8-5: WINS @ 4-5 Storm Cat colt from Mott-Wygod done nothing wrong
3. #1a Carnera 2-1: 2nd @ 3-1 Darley pair will be winging it on front end


9th: Day ends quietly as Klesaris' One Good Man botches up what would have been a nice trifecta with Gimme Credit (3rd choice), Storm N Lightning (2nd choice) and Longshot Alert player Himmarshee (18-1) running 1-3-4...

Pick Six was not unattainable as 5 of 6 are in the mix on the day with 2 on-top winners, one second choice winner and two third choice winners...

Hope you had a good day!

1. #1 Trick Meeting 9-5: 9th @ 2-1 Hate chalk in 9th, but Hough is tough; Can't dawdle
2. #5 Storm N Lightning 12-1: 3rd @ 12-1 Schosberg gelding perked up in grass return
A. #10 Gimme Credit 8-1: WINS @ 13-2 Respect Tim Hills and Artax son can get away soft
B. #6 Super Nationals 9-2: 7th @ 7-2 Can't pass bay that hasn't missed Super in 7 tries

LONGSHOT ALERT/SUPER ADD-IN: #9 Himmarshee (12-1) 4th @ 18-1 has spotty record and Disanto struggling. But Vicar red fits with these and has near pace style that could work..
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #18  
Old 07-10-2006, 08:17 AM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,278
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a nice job stevo..i went win sec sec win sec bust...that masusse was a hell of a nice run beating my five in the last jump..
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