Spa Day 3 Play Along

[JimmyEllis]

Originally Posted by JimmyEllis

Saratoga Race 4

$30 ex 6/2,4

$186

crumb

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by JimmyEllis

he just can't finish and he can't consistently get his horses to change leads. i just don't get why so many think he's so good

It could be that he's won at 18% with a $1.95 ROI in 1,099 rides the last 12 months, the ROI easily best of the New York regulars. He's consistently among the leading money earners at all the premier meets. The guy is a terrific rider by any measure.

The horse saved ground on a slow pace and had absolutely no answer for the much-the-best winner. Jesus with a 7-pound bug couldn't have made that horse run any better than she did.

[pointman]

Originally Posted by pointman

Spa 2

Going deep in pk4 split with pmac hoping for prices.

$1-$180
2- 1,2,4,5,7,10
3- 5,6,11
4- 2,6
5- 3,5,10,11

$20W 4
$10DD 4/5,11

This ticket also has 12 in the 5th, is for $180, I just left it off posting. I am sick looking at will pays.

[JimmyEllis]

Woodbine Race 5

$40 ex 5/9,11
$20 ex 5/1,2
$20 ex 11/5

$8 tri 5/1,2,9,11/1,2,9,11
$6 tri 2/5,9,11/5,9,11,1

[pointman]

Spa 5

$20W 12
$20DD 10,12/10
$1SUP 10,12/3,5,10,12/3,5,10,12/3,5,10.12

[casp0555]

Race #5 07/21/2013
Saratoga
$5 Double
# 3
WT # 10
$5.00

Race #5 07/21/2013
Saratoga
$3 Double
# 11
WT # 2,10
$6.00

Race #5 07/21/2013
Saratoga
$9 Win
# 11
$9.00

[JimmyEllis]

Chermetz gets blocked inside pretty much the length of the stretch and just gets up for 2nd. Probably doesn't win, however, with a clear run. Refused to acknowledge all the money on the layoff 2 and it cost me.

[JimmyEllis]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

It could be that he's won at 18% with a $1.95 ROI in 1,099 rides the last 12 months, the ROI easily best of the New York regulars. He's consistently among the leading money earners at all the premier meets. The guy is a terrific rider by any measure.

The horse saved ground on a slow pace and had absolutely no answer for the much-the-best winner. Jesus with a 7-pound bug couldn't have made that horse run any better than she did.

You know what: stats will probably tell me that Contreras is a significantly better rider than Wilson or (last year) even Da Silva. But Emma is absolutely money in the lane and Da Silva is right behind her. And Contreras is always a defensive play for me. Lezcano looks real good styling with the best horse. But he can't be counted on when it means something. Just my opinion.

[pointman]

I should feel better but the 12 getting nipped still cost me a nice amount. I am all over the wire with nothing to show for it.

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by pointman

I should feel better but the 12 getting nipped still cost me a nice amount. I am all over the wire with nothing to show for it.

So much for that turf speed bias.

[JimmyEllis]

Woodbine Race 6

$50 ex 1/5
$40 ex 1/6
$20 ex 5/1

[pointman]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

So much for that turf speed bias.

I have to admit I have not seen a bias as well.

Spa 6

$20W 10
$20DD 10/4,6,10
$5pk3. 10/4,5,6,10/11

[casp0555]

Race #6 07/21/2013
Saratoga
$3 Double
# 4,10
WT # 5,9
$12.00

[JimmyEllis]

Saratoga Race 6

$30 dd 2/2

Ellis Park race 5

$100 win #1

[JimmyEllis]

Originally Posted by JimmyEllis

Woodbine Race 6

$50 ex 1/5
$40 ex 1/6
$20 ex 5/1

$375

[pointman]

Originally Posted by JimmyEllis

$375

Nice job, Jimmy!

That sure was an interesting ride by Lezcano on the 10. Nothing like a senseless middle move to flatten your horse out in the stretch.

[casp0555]

Nice job jimmy....Ellis too!

[JimmyEllis]

Originally Posted by JimmyEllis

Saratoga Race 6

$30 dd 2/2

Ellis Park race 5

$100 win #1

$340

Thanks, guys.

All my picks should win this easily

[pointman]

Nice, Jimmy! Keep ringing the bell!

Spa 7

Pk4's split with pmac:

$1-$144
7- 3,4,6,8,9,10
8- 11
9- 1,2,5
10- 1,2,3,8,9,10,12

$0.50-$108
7- 3,4,8,9,10,12
8- 6,8,11
9- 1,2,5
10- 2,4,10,12

$20W 10
$20DD 4,6,10/11
$0.10SUPB 4,5,6,10,12
$1SUP 10/4,6,12

[JimmyEllis]

Woodbine Race 7.

This is probably not the best distance for Riding the River. And while I really like Valentino Beauty, I think the race shape favored him last time out. Hotep probably got the worst of it last out and should benefit from the extra distance. Though I don't like that Wilson is getting off for the 4. And Pender Harbour might get a nice stalking trip.

$40 ex 3/7,9
$30 ex 7/3,9

$6 tri 3,7/3,5,7,9