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  #1  
Old 08-11-2006, 05:19 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Default Gomez Leading Standings at Saratoga But...

Garret Gomez is now alone atop the standings at Saratoga with 15 wins. But the funny thing is that he's not riding nearly as well as last year. He's been getting into a lot of trouble. It's not always a jockey's fault when they get into trouble. Sometimes it's just bad luck. Sometimes everything just goes wrong in a race. But over time, the good jockeys get into less trouble than the bad jockeys.

Last year, Gomez had a period of about 6 months straight where he was in the right spot every time and he got a perfect trip every race. He made every right decision and he had some good luck too. He rode as well during that period as any rider I have ever seen. He's definitely not riding nearly as well this year. Just the last two days, he's gotten into more trouble than he got in practically all of last year.

Don't get me wrong. When he's riding his best, I think he's the best jockey in the country. I think he gets more run out of horses than any other rider. He's one of the only riders out there that can actually move a horse up.

And don't believe for a minute that he's not a smart rider. He's as smart of a rider as I've ever seen. He understands horses better than practically any rider out there.

He's definitely my favorite rider and I expect him to continue do very well in New York. He has been a little bit inconsistent lately and has had a buch of troubled trips. Some of them were not his fault but some of them were. Anyway, he can definitely ride much better than he's riding right now. It's a little bit like Tiger Woods. Tiger is so good that he is often leading the money list even when he's not playing his best.
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Old 08-11-2006, 05:54 PM
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paisjpq paisjpq is offline
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you are right on rupert...go-go seems to run so hot and cold that you don't know what you are going to get from one day to the next. I don't bet him for that reason, even though I think he is a terriffic rider.
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Old 08-11-2006, 06:16 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by paisjpq
you are right on rupert...go-go seems to run so hot and cold that you don't know what you are going to get from one day to the next. I don't bet him for that reason, even though I think he is a terriffic rider.
Yes, he has definitely blown his fair share this year. But while he may blow one on the best horse, he will come back the next race on the 3rd or 4th best horse and win the race. He can sometimes move a horse up a couple of lengths. I think that is one of the reasons his winning percenatge is still high this year. He may lose a race that he should have won but then he will come back and win a race that he probably shouldn't have won. He has a great gift of getting horses to relax and to settle into the pace that they are most comfortable running at. Every horse has an ideal pace that they want to run at. I think Garret is good at finding that pace.

Now that he's been in New York for a while and he's getting good mounts, I would expect him to start to relax more and I think you will see a big improvement in his riding. He's given plenty of great rides this year but he has been a little bit inconsistent at times. I've seen him at his best and I know that he can ride much better than he's been riding this year. I don't see any reason why he won't start riding his best.
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Old 08-11-2006, 06:26 PM
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paisjpq paisjpq is offline
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I agree again. I'mhoping that he evens out his highs and lows as he becomes more comfortable...I'm sure though that the first time I bet him or need him I can kiss my money good bye (it's a gift I have)
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Old 08-11-2006, 06:44 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Didn't we have some bold predictions some time back regarding how bad Gomez would stink up the place at Saratoga? How all the regular east coast riders would do nothing but school him each day? And that when Johnny V came back for Pletcher, Gomez would sink like a stone amongst the leaders?

I vaguely remember a post or two alone these lines.
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Old 08-11-2006, 07:10 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Didn't we have some bold predictions some time back regarding how bad Gomez would stink up the place at Saratoga? How all the regular east coast riders would do nothing but school him each day? And that when Johnny V came back for Pletcher, Gomez would sink like a stone amongst the leaders?

I vaguely remember a post or two alone these lines.
Yes, you are correct. There were a few posters on here that were saying how poorly Gomez would do in New York and how JV and the others would school him. I told them they were completely wrong. I feel somewhat vindicated since Gomez is leading the standings at Saratoga but I don't feel totally vindicated because I know that Gomez can ride far better than he's been riding. If he starts riding his best, I think he will totally dominate in NY. I want people to see him at his best so they will know how good he really is. When he gets into "the zone", he is absolutely spectacular.
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  #7  
Old 08-11-2006, 07:52 PM
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http://www.equibase.com/premium/eqbP...&RACE=9&BorP=B

Caution!! before viewing this ride please ask the children and any squeamish adults to leave the room. Anyone who can view this replay should do so only if they don't get nauseous easily.
This one took the cake, I mean I have seen some bad rides in my days, but this one was right up there in the all time top ten bad rides I ever saw.
There is no way this guy has an iq higher than a box of dirt, no way.
Nothing bad enough can happen to this guy as far as I am concerned. If he wasn't on drugs during this ride perhaps he should go back to drugs, it certainly couldn't cause anything worse, thats for sure.
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  #8  
Old 08-11-2006, 07:58 PM
oracle80
 
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Oh and Prado leads the standings now after a 3 win day today.
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  #9  
Old 08-12-2006, 08:23 AM
oracle80
 
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Rupert there is no way that Gomez is not a friend of yours because your analysis of a race is usually dead on but in this case you are quite delusional, to the point where I wonder if you actually saw the race.
First of all Milwaukee is a horse that has some speed. She was not "rank". She was overly restrained behind a crawling pace and grabbed to death. She was not allowed to even gallop along at her normal cruising speed. As far as flattening out? Are you mother******* kidding me?!!!!!! After being grabbed to death, choked down, steadying for a mile, and swinging outside and steadying again, she still ran on for third beaten about 2 1/2 lengths. You have to be kidding me. That ride went into my all time top 10 bad rides and I can't even do it justice with words. That was an absolute trainwreck disaster. The Titanic had a better trip than Milwaukee did. Anyone who would even attempt to defend that ride is not seeing things objectively.
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  #10  
Old 08-12-2006, 08:33 AM
alysheba4 alysheba4 is offline
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thats the best description of a bad ride i have ever read........ " the titanic had a better trip "
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  #11  
Old 08-12-2006, 08:44 AM
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GenuineRisk GenuineRisk is offline
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Rupert, I know oracle has made it clear he thinks Gomez is very physically gifted, but not bright-- my question to you, Rupert, is, do you think maybe he is perfectly bright but just doesn't do his homework with the DRF before the races? I know plenty of gifted actors who don't do their prep work before auditions; counting on talent alone to get them through, and I imagine lots of athletes who are extremely physically gifted could be lazy in that way as well.

I remember Jerry Bailey saying he didn't think he was the most talented of jockeys, but that he always, always did his homework before the races. Maybe Gomez is neglecting his homework and it's showing this season? What do you think?
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  #12  
Old 08-12-2006, 09:18 AM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GenuineRisk
Rupert, I know oracle has made it clear he thinks Gomez is very physically gifted, but not bright-- my question to you, Rupert, is, do you think maybe he is perfectly bright but just doesn't do his homework with the DRF before the races? I know plenty of gifted actors who don't do their prep work before auditions; counting on talent alone to get them through, and I imagine lots of athletes who are extremely physically gifted could be lazy in that way as well.

I remember Jerry Bailey saying he didn't think he was the most talented of jockeys, but that he always, always did his homework before the races. Maybe Gomez is neglecting his homework and it's showing this season? What do you think?
I honestly have no idea how much preparation he does for a race. I think that all of these guys look at the Racing Form before the race. Some guys may spend more time than others. I have no idea how much time Gomez spends reading the Racing Form.

All the good jockeys know that the race may not unfold the way they expect, so all the preparation in the world often times goes out the window once the race starts. I wouldn't want a jockey to decide what he's going to do before the race starts. You will sometimes see a race with a ton of speed horses and the pace ends up being slow. Other times you see a race where it looks like there is not much pace and yet the pace ends up being very fast.

The great jockeys are the ones who are the best at adapting to the race as it unfolds. Let's say that you've got a horse that likes to be 2-3 lengths back when the half-mile is run in :47 and let's say that from looking at the Racing Form it appears that the pace will be somewhere around :47. In that situation, the jockey may expect to be sitting 2-3 lengths back. But if the pace ends up being :46, the really great jockey will realize how fast they are going and will be sitting 7-8 lengths back instead of 2-3 lengths back. If the pace ends up being :48, the really great jockey will be on the lead instead of sitting 2-3 lengths back.
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  #13  
Old 08-12-2006, 11:25 AM
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Oh my gosh. This arguement is stupid. The only thing that matters in horse racing is wins and money earned. So instead of trying to analyze rides and how someone prepares for a race and how stupid or smart a jock is lets just look at the jocks standing for wins and money earned.

Edgar and Garrett are 1 and 2 in the jockey standings nation wide when it comes to money earned. Now Johnny V is winning at 26%. If Johnny V wasnt hurt then he prob would be at the top of the standings. But these three jocks are prob the best in the nation right now. So to say that a jock who has earned over $10mm this year and is winning at a 18.8% is stupid then the person calling this jock stupid should take a nice long look in the mirror.
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  #14  
Old 08-12-2006, 11:42 AM
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Top 3
John R.
Victor E.
Edgar P.
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  #15  
Old 08-12-2006, 11:52 AM
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GenuineRisk GenuineRisk is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by eurobounce
Oh my gosh. This arguement is stupid. The only thing that matters in horse racing is wins and money earned. So instead of trying to analyze rides and how someone prepares for a race and how stupid or smart a jock is lets just look at the jocks standing for wins and money earned.

Edgar and Garrett are 1 and 2 in the jockey standings nation wide when it comes to money earned. Now Johnny V is winning at 26%. If Johnny V wasnt hurt then he prob would be at the top of the standings. But these three jocks are prob the best in the nation right now. So to say that a jock who has earned over $10mm this year and is winning at a 18.8% is stupid then the person calling this jock stupid should take a nice long look in the mirror.
I don't think anyone who earns his or her way to the top of his or her profession could possibly be stupid; I just thought it was interesting that people have seen more inconsistent riding from Gomez this year and was curious to toss out the "What about prep work?" thought. (I enjoyed RP's response very much, btw, thank you!)

I'm a big believer in luck, but I think luck can be directed to some extent by hard work, too. But I don't know any more of Gomez's prep work than anyone else who doesn't know him. Or any other jockey's for that matter.
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  #16  
Old 08-12-2006, 08:53 AM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by oracle80
Rupert there is no way that Gomez is not a friend of yours because your analysis of a race is usually dead on but in this case you are quite delusional, to the point where I wonder if you actually saw the race.
First of all Milwaukee is a horse that has some speed. She was not "rank". She was overly restrained behind a crawling pace and grabbed to death. She was not allowed to even gallop along at her normal cruising speed. As far as flattening out? Are you mother******* kidding me?!!!!!! After being grabbed to death, choked down, steadying for a mile, and swinging outside and steadying again, she still ran on for third beaten about 2 1/2 lengths. You have to be kidding me. That ride went into my all time top 10 bad rides and I can't even do it justice with words. That was an absolute trainwreck disaster. The Titanic had a better trip than Milwaukee did. Anyone who would even attempt to defend that ride is not seeing things objectively.
I can't guarantee you that she won't win next time but I certainly will not be betting her. I didn't like the way she was moving the final 100 yards. She was really struggling.

You're wrong to say she wasn't rank. All "rank means" is pulling and hard to control. She was certainly pulling and hard to control. When you're in heavy traffic and your horse is pulling hard, there's not much you can do. He had nowhere to go.

Last edited by Rupert Pupkin : 08-12-2006 at 08:58 AM.
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  #17  
Old 08-12-2006, 08:58 AM
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dalakhani dalakhani is offline
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I didnt see the race but I am of the opinion that Garrett Gomez is one of the best riders in the country. He isnt perfect...none of them are and Bailey certainly wasnt either.

Gomez can ride any type of horse on either surface from any part of the track. If Ron Anderson sees fit to manage his book, it must tell you something.
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