6/19: CD (1st-11th); HOL ($552k C/O)

[Kasept]

Came away empty-handed and $250 lighter in the bankroll Thursday after noble try at the Hollywood carryover. Good news is we all get another shot late tonight with a pool at $550k+ and likely to approach $3,000,000.

Although the late P4 recouped a tiny sum, losing the photo between Senor Afortunado (P4 paid $100+) and Magna Cum Laude (P4 would pay $500+) in that nightcap was the difference in breaking even on the day after the $288 and $72 P6 and P4 investments.

It was a super tough sequence in which having the right single (Delta Storm in the Kerlan) and one of the $30+ horses (Tidal Dance in the 4th) felt really good but delivered nothing to the bottom line. Hope you fared OK...

Fabulous racing night ahead though with Churchill running from 6pm to 11:15pm (EST) and Hollywood commencing at 10;05pm EST and wrapping at 1:20pm (EST). Should be a special evening for racing fans and horseplayers...


CHURCHILL DOWNS


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 Kinsale With Me 5-2 WON
Best Value: #3 More Rum 8-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Goldfinder 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Jimanator 8-1 2nd


2nd: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Queen Stephanie 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #3 Namaste's Wish 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #1 Gloria Goodbody 3-1 WON
Super Add: #5 Sharbat 2-1 5th


3rd: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Broadway Bertie 6-5 WON
Best Value: #7 Queen Gracie 15-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Terrell Cheney 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Metro Devil 5-2 3rd


4th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5f-T (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Ocean Colors 3-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Rock 'n' Roll Gal 5-1 5th
Next Best: #1e E. Reed entry 9-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Nadadora 10-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

1: 2-3
2: 1-2-3
3: 1-4-5-7
4: 1-2-3-5-7-9

2x3x4x6 = 144 x .50 = $72


5th:

Group of firsters with little to guide you but trainer/sire stats; Note that Legends Racing Stable debuts here with DWL's #5 Rapport, a $475k buy and half sister of the memorable Adieu..

Best Value: #2 Ad Litem 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #1e M. Scherer entry 4-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Rapport 7-2 8th
Super Add: #8 Sixtysix Margaux 3-1 4th


6th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #10 Whirling Thunder 5-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Home Field 6-1 7th
Next Best: #11 (AE) SCR
Super Add: #4 Buriedbeyondbelief 10-1 5th
High 5 Play: #3 Dahlgoneit 8-1 6th


7th: CLM, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #6 My Boy Jo 8-1 WON
Most Likely: #5 Chapel by the Sea 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #4 Ten Is Enough 5-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Dookie Duck 10-1 8th


<$75 P4 Play:

4: 1-5-9
5: 1-2-5-7-8-9
6: 5-10
7: 4-5-6-7

3x6x2x4 = 144 x .50 = $72


8th: CLM, 3+, 6f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1e Smith entry 4-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Humor at Last 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Farragots Follies 4-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Chief Waterbury 5-1 5th


9th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Agastache 5-1 WON
Most Likely: #7 SCR
Next Best: #5 Chris Got Even 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Saratoga Seven 20-1


10th: ALW/N2X, 3+, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Golden Country 5-2 5th
Next Best: #5 Flying Pegasus 6-5 3rd
Best Value: #1 Goldolphin Gray 10-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Fort Apache 6-1 6th


11th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Best Value: #9 Silver Stripes 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #8 Yankee Player 5-1 WON
Next Best: #10 Morning Magic 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Best Put 5-1 3rd
High 5 Play: #5 Con Lover 15-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-3-4-7-8-9
9: 4-7
10: 1-3-4-5
11: 8-9-10

6x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72



HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Royal Fortune 9-5 WON
Best Value: #2 Surprises Welcomed 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Gumption 3-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Shiksa 5-2 4th


4th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Principle Secret 3-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Saint Paul 12-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Yankee Visionary 5-2 3rd


5th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Pacific Halo 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Fiery Rebel 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #13 Great Raid 3-1 4th
Super Add: #12 Izemine 6-1 5th


6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #11 Forest Phantom 9-2 WON
Most Likely: #2 Honouramongfriends 7-2 4th
Next Best: #10 Stand Tall 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #8 Talk of a Cat 8-1 11th


7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f-T (DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Hiya Silver 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #1 Position A 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Hovig 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #3 Fu Peg He Rat 12-1 4th

$1 Superfecta (2-1-7-3) Paid $353.90


8th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #3 Cactus Flyer 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #10 Suances de Espana 8-1 WON
Next Best: #2 Kay S 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Pallotolla 8-1 9th
High 5 Play: #13 Be an Angel 20-1 8th


<$300 P6 Play:

3: 2-5
4: 3-5
5: 1-7-12-13
6: 11
7: 1-2-7
8: 2-3-10

2x2x4x1x3x3 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-7-9-12-13
6: 11
7: 1-2-7
8: 2-3-7-10-13

5x1x3x5 = $75 $1 Pick 4 (9-11-2-10) Paid $3,539.60


Good luck!
Steve

[tiznowthegreat]

Churchill has certainly accomplished their goal of creating buzz surrounding the night racing. Would expect it to be their 3rd largest crowd of the year.

Really curious to see Schramsburg in the 6th. Serenas Song has already foaled some good ones. Doesn't look to be a lot in here to beat. Very curious to see how far down his odds come from the 8-1 ML.

Steve, both you and Gus have My Boy Jo as your top choice in the 7th. What do you like about him? Thanks.

[XIIPointStables]

Heading to Mohegan Sun for the night action.

Good luck to all!

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by tiznowthegreat

Steve, both you and Gus have My Boy Jo as your top choice in the 7th. What do you like about him? Thanks.

Actually, the more I look, the more I like Chapel By the Sea, but 8-1 is a square price on My Boy Jo considering the ordinary nature of the group. He appears to be an in-out type that alternates efforts, with a good one in the offing here. Johars are OK on the main track, and while J-T stuff doesn't move me typically, it is noteable that Nicks reaches for Albarado here (5 of 12-42% together last 18 months, and 20.7% over last 140 starts together.)

It's an ugly race.

Churchill under the lights at night!! (Well...for half the card) And it's 150 degrees today!!!

Oh and $10 admission!! I will not be there!!

[pointman]

Nice call on My Boy Jo at 7-1 Steve!

[pmacdaddy]

And the $89 straight exacta...