Tampa Sat - 2/2/08 Pick Fo'

[Bigsmc]

From the January 19th Tampa thread:

Originally Posted by bigsmc

Firster to watch in Race 1:

5 - True Hype is by the good win early sire Yes It's True and out of the super south Florida sprinter, Hyperactive. Her previous babies have won 1 of 3 first out and this one has been working steadily for her debut. Ken Decker usually has them ready to pop the gate and fly so look for this one to be prominent early. She is up against a couple of decent looking horses (1 & 2) but she is a must use in your exotics and DD's.

She did not break well in her debut, rushed up and flattened out. Should be tighter today and with a good break....

[GPK]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

From the January 19th Tampa thread:



She did not break well in her debut, rushed up and flattened out. Should be tighter today and with a good break....

Pamelia's Passion is also by Yes It's True, out of Sister Greeley, whose only foal (Sister Cat) is a winner

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by GPK

Pamelia's Passion is also by Yes It's True, out of Sister Greeley, whose only foal (Sister Cat) is a winner

Sister Greeley won her MSW debut.....at GLD

You boys have me sucked into this race now....

This is a wide open race. Some nice firsters, I like a couple that have run already and they all have to deal with Killarny Township.

1 - Pamelia's Passion - Yes It's True firster. May need to settle and swing outside for the run home unless she can get out of the gate well...
2 - Killarny Township - All the experience. Showing signs of being a hanger.
3 - Hickory Belle - Been training off track....Lures Centeno.
4 - Diamond Or Gold - Super Payson works for Clement.
6 - Glotona - Outran her odds in her debut. Another half furlong won't hurt. With a little improvement, she will be right there.
7 - True Hype - See post above.
8 - Melo Sophie - Dixie Union babies win more than 10% of their debuts. Series of long slow works indicate the stamina should be there. The question is whether the speed is there. Smock not so good with firsters. Mixed signals.
9 - Peace N the Valley - KOC very good second out. Took some GP money for her troubled debut.

So far I have eliminated the 5 and the 10. Yikes.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

Sister Greeley won her MSW debut.....at GLD

You boys have me sucked into this race now....

This is a wide open race. Some nice firsters, I like a couple that have run already and they all have to deal with Killarny Township.

1 - Pamelia's Passion - Yes It's True firster. May need to settle and swing outside for the run home unless she can get out of the gate well...
2 - Killarny Township - All the experience. Showing signs of being a hanger.
3 - Hickory Belle - Been training off track....Lures Centeno.
4 - Diamond Or Gold - Super Payson works for Clement.
6 - Glotona - Outran her odds in her debut. Another half furlong won't hurt. With a little improvement, she will be right there.
7 - True Hype - See post above.
8 - Melo Sophie - Dixie Union babies win more than 10% of their debuts. Series of long slow works indicate the stamina should be there. The question is whether the speed is there. Smock not so good with firsters. Mixed signals.
9 - Peace N the Valley - KOC very good second out. Took some GP money for her troubled debut.

So far I have eliminated the 5 and the 10. Yikes.

1 - A must use at a nice price
2 - A hanger like you said...will be overbet...toss
3 - Lures DC...nuff said
4 - More distance??
6 - no works since debut...will wait for jock switch
7 - I will trust ya'll on this one
8 - Really learning to like Lopez...but as you said...LS rarely has them cranked at first asking
9 - I pray to the Good Lord above she gets overlooked on the board.

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by GPK

The Baron of Balmoral is alive and kicking somewhere in this messed up head of mine.

I was lied to by a certain "respected" member of this board when he told me to sign up for twinspires.com.

Yes, I noticed the " " around respected....

YouBet has Balmoral....but no GP....it goes on and on....

There is no getting around having two ADW accounts these days to get all the tracks.

[Bigsmc]

The 5th race is a nice little turf race. Should be able to find value here.

Not that the morning line is remotely accurate, I will be using:

6 - The Potters Hand - 10-1
9 - Jamian - 6-1
10 - No Tolerance - 4-1 (Not leaving Ness off the claim off my ticket...ever)

[Bigsmc]

Race 9 note:

11AE - Wascally Wabbit is a half to Spanish Chestnut.

No clue on the trainer, but he could be one to watch if he doesn't get in today (OC 32k/C) and actually gets entered in a maiden race (I think this race is a bit tough for a firster).

[Bigsmc]

I'm having extreme difficulty narrowing this P4 down to a $48 ticket (I will not be playing one that small), but here goes...

Small Ticket:

3,6,8/3,6/6/4,7,9 = $18

Big Ticket:

3,6,8,10/1,3,6,8/6,9/4,7,9 = $96

GL to all.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

I'm having extreme difficulty narrowing this P4 down to a $48 ticket (I will not be playing one that small), but here goes...

Small Ticket:

3,6,8/3,6/4,6/3,4,7,9 = $48

Big Ticket:

3,6,8,10/1,3,6,8/4,6,9/3,4,7,9 = $192

GL to all.

GET SOME BIGGS!!

[GPK]

Race 6

Demon's Storm at a huge price

[GPK]

Didnt get the scratches till late. TM being scratched changed the dynamics of that race.