5/3: Churchill Downs (139th Kentucky Oaks)

[ADJMK]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Think he's one of about 10 that can win. He was based at Palm Meadows all winter and his one 3yo start is a $30k conditional ALW at Tampa in which he beat mediocrities. He's 3-1 based on that? Hope he's not 3-1 based on the Juvenile Turf because that group has utterly evaporated. It could be that he hasn't improved since last year. His closing kick may not be enough today either given that the pace lost some steam with Redwood Kitten coming out and handy Anyriderill Do is going to take them a long way. Noble Tune can win, but there' are many, many more intriguing options.

Best of luck this weekend.

After watching the Tampa replay I was visibly impressed but you make some very good points. According to the DRF he was being pointed to the Blue Grass but Chad didn't like the way he handled the track and changed plans. Should be healthy as been working steadily every week but you think he may have found a grass race for him. You make a very good point that he hasn't beaten anyone this year and will probably be overbet based on last year form.
Tough call Sanatana on whether it is worth keying him at the price.