Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord
I'm with you.
When the mandatory payout kicks in on closing day...it is an incredibly good bet, obviously.
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There's no equilibrium strategy to play this thing that I can come up with as it is easy to give a counter example for most anything. If everyone waits and loads up for closing day and ignores the day before closing day, then that is the day to jump the bet for a chance to take the whole thing down. But then if everyone took that strategy, it would roll back to the day before that and so on...Seven fig pool just play to pure greed, not smart handicapping. Mr. Crist's approach sounds like a good alternative, but then you will be dumping hundreds on a dime based bet and will still get busted if you get 2 chaos results out of 6. He probably can afford it. I can't. No thanks.
It is an absolute sucker bet. A real P6 is hard enough and should be played by very few people out there, but it seems like everyone now has big ..errrr... "johnson" syndrome and wants to pretend to be a playah. This thing sucks the money right out of that crowd, creating zero churn and, as Mr Beyer says, a 52% effective take. Worst bet in existance.