How Selfish Can Omama Be

Riot · #1 10-31-2012, 07:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

That's a lie. I posted a Rasmussen poll that showed Romney ahead by 2 points in Fl. You questioned the poll and provided your own poll. You said that Obama is the "Most Likely" winner in FL, yet the exact poll you referenced showed the exact opposite.

How do you explain this?

First: I am posting two aggregate pollsters, Nate Silver 538 and TPM, and both have excellent reputations for accuracy. They take Rasmussen and mix with other polls for a total, overall view.

You are looking at one Republican-leaning poll, only Rasmussen.

Secondly: For the third time, I'll repeat the same explanation: TRENDING

Obama is strongly trending up, Romney trending down. Post Rasmussen Florida for the past 5 days in Florida, Rude. Even House of Ras has Romney trending downwards in Florida.

(Here: this is from Friday, but Ras has Romney trending down in Florida the past week http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ...rida_president )

Thirdly: Democrats beating Republican in early voting.

I've very confident of Obama winning Florida. Won't be by much, but he'll win. Even if Romney wins FL, he would have to still run the table with CO, NV, OH, PA, NC, VA, NH.

That is based upon looking at lots of different polls, over the past six months.

Romney simply has no easy way to 270 votes, Obama does. It's a week before the election. What you see is what you get.

hoovesupsideyourhead · #2 10-31-2012, 08:04 PM

please please tell me you think your going to win..lol

Riot · #3 10-31-2012, 08:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead

please please tell me you think your going to win..lol

I already did that earlier..lol

bigrun · #4 10-31-2012, 08:07 PM

Where is that singing coming from? ... I believe it's the Fat Lady !!!

O w/ MO MT @fivethirtyeight 7 polls released in OH in past 48 hrs: Obama +2, Obama +3, Obama +3, Obama +3, Obama +5, Obama +5, Obama +5.

Riot · #5 10-31-2012, 08:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bigrun

Where is that singing coming from? ... I believe it's the Fat Lady !!!

O w/ MO MT @fivethirtyeight 7 polls released in OH in past 48 hrs: Obama +2, Obama +3, Obama +3, Obama +3, Obama +5, Obama +5, Obama +5.

Yeah, I saw that earlier

Nate Silver used to be a gambler. Guy is good with number and predictions.

Rudeboyelvis · #6 10-31-2012, 08:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot

First: I am posting two aggregate pollsters, Nate Silver 538 and TPM, and both have excellent reputations for accuracy. They take Rasmussen and mix with other polls for a total, overall view.

You are looking at one Republican-leaning poll, only Rasmussen.

Secondly: For the third time, I'll repeat the same explanation: TRENDING

Obama is strongly trending up, Romney trending down. Post Rasmussen Florida for the past 5 days in Florida, Rude. Even House of Ras has Romney trending downwards in Florida.

Thirdly: Democrats beating Republican in early voting.

I've very confident of Obama winning Florida. Won't be by much, but he'll win. Even if Romney wins FL, he would have to still run the table with CO, NV, OH, PA, NC, VA, NH.

Romney simply has no easy way to 270 votes, Obama does. It's a week before the election. What you see is what you get.

He will win FL handily. He is still "Trending" higher in the I10 and I4 corridors which are the key to the state. You state as fact that somehow the state has released official voting records of early voting to you, which is a lie. You are citing exit polling by a left wing website that is ambiguous at best..

Secondly, he can lose OH and PA and still win the EC as he has already shown positive "Trending" in NV, WI, and even OH, and is "Trending" higher than Obama in CO, IA, NH, and VA.

I'm done. You are a joke. We'll see on Tuesday... I'll be traveling, but hope to be close by to wish you nothing but the best for you and your family upon your departure.

Riot · #7 10-31-2012, 08:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

You state as fact that somehow the state has released official voting records of early voting to you, which is a lie.

No, I did not you moronic idiot

You not knowing how early voting totals are obtained and released to the press is pretty weak reason for calling me a liar. Your ignorance about how early voting is tabulated is not my fault.

I copied to a newspaper article that has the current early voting (all states) - looks like you didn't even bother to click and learn.

Quote:

You are citing exit polling by a left wing website that is ambiguous at best..

That's not where how information on that newspaper website was obtained, doofus

Quote:

I'm done. You are a joke. We'll see on Tuesday... I'll be traveling, but hope to be close by to wish you nothing but the best for you and your family upon your departure.

I clearly am not the joke. You going on and on, comfortable in your ignorance of polling, is pretty funny.

Rudeboyelvis · #8 10-31-2012, 08:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot

No, I did not you moronic idiot

You not knowing how early voting totals are obtained and released to the press is pretty weak [/b]

Provide your source, Sugartits.

Hillsborough County (Tampa), for one, says it's illegal.

Dahoss · #9 10-31-2012, 08:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Provide your source, Sugartits.

Hillsborough County (Tampa), for one, says it's illegal.

I just ate. Thanks.

Riot · #10 10-31-2012, 08:30 PM

For Rude: click and learn. Bumbleballs

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html

Rudeboyelvis · #11 10-31-2012, 08:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot

For Rude: click and learn. Bumbleballs

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html

Hahaha you click on the link and it takes you to a Huff Po blog!!! C'mon!!! Get Real!!!

Riot · #12 10-31-2012, 08:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Hahaha you click on the link and it takes you to a Huff Po blog!!! C'mon!!! Get Real!!!

Are you drunk?

That is not a HuffPo blog. The web address has the edu. suffix.

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html Try again to use the clicky key.

BTW - you might go back and look at the Rasmussen polling information you posted - it gives Obama 332 to Romney 206 vote Obama electoral win.

Rudeboyelvis · #13 10-31-2012, 08:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot

Are you drunk?

That is not a HuffPo blog. The web address has the edu. suffix.

http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2012.html Try again to use the clicky key.

BTW - you might go back and look at the Rasmussen polling information you posted - it gives Obama 332 to Romney 206 vote Obama electoral win.

Your only link on this "site" specific to Florida is the Miami/Dade results which are always left. The rest of the state has something called "election laws" that prohibit the nonsense. keep on keepin on, playa.

And the first link on the site take you to http://www.huffingtonpost.com/michae...b_2027200.html

and all subsequent "blog posts" are all from the Huff Po.

Fair and balanced, as usual. I'd expect nothing less.

And you still refuse to explain how your specified AGGREATION POLL shows Romney leading in FL, yet after you quote it, you dismiss the fact.

Comedy.

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