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Old 11-02-2006, 04:10 PM
avance2000 avance2000 is offline
Tropical Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2006
Location: St. Louis
Posts: 285
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Bid
He will benefit from being away from California speed favoring tracks. I thought he ran very well against Lava Man the last time they met. Hes sneaky good too, dont completely discount him, he can get a piece. I dont think he can win in either spot, but he has enough class to jump up and surprise as a nice filler in exotics.

I give him more of a chance to hit the board than Lava Man
i don't like lava man's chances that much either but he definitely has a better chance of hitting the board than super frolic. you seem to be analyzing his chances in the classic.....but he is not running in that race. the horse will not benefit from moving away from cali-tracks because he is running on the grass.....which he has not done in an extremely long time.
and even when he did run on the grass he wasn't any good!!!
if they had run in the classic he would have been a longshot.
in the mile he is a no-shot.
he should be at least 80-1.
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