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Old 11-19-2011, 07:04 PM
GPK GPK is offline
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Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Calzone Lord View Post
I pretty much agree about that point.

I'm running the handicapping equivalent of the spread option... so I will be betting races there ... and other equally obscure tracks.

I've got some crazy perverted approach that has been working well -- but a lot of the prime edge situations come at tracks where pool size is crap and making a big score isn't realistic or sometimes even possible.

Instead of studying trips for like 40 races in NY a week -- and like 20 at other major tracks -- I deal with about 60 or so races a week from all tracks. A quarter of the races (the weakest ones) I will study looking only for the best next out bet againsts. A quarter of them (the strongest ones) I will study looking only for a horse to follow going forward. The other half are races where the pace was run to an extreme -- either way too fast or way too slow -- and I will study them looking either for a bet-against or a horse to follow depending upon whichever makes the most sense when I actually watch and study the race.

It's an odd approach -- but I'd rather spend time watching races and studying trips where special stuff happened -- than worry about races where nothing extreme happened in regard to how it was run.

How do you determine which races to watch? You just scroll through results charts looking at the fractions and if a fast or slow pace stands out, you watch the replay?
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