Theories on the lessening superiority of top class males VS 2yo's, claimers,& females

[Calzone Lord]

* Favorite Trick ran a 101 Beyer when he won the 1997 BC Juvenile -- Skip Away a 120 in the 1997 Breeders Cup Classic. Both races were same day and same variant ... Favorite Trick is the only 2yo since Secretariat to win Horse of the Year at age 2.


* Arazi ran a 101 Beyer when he oblierated Bertrando in the 1991 Juvenile -- Black Tie Affiar won the BC Classic with a 120 Beyer. Same day and same variant.

In both cases -- the older male was +19

Here are the last four horses to win the BC Juvie on dirt:

'10 - Uncle Mo - 108
'07 – War Pass – 113
'06 - Street Sense – 108
'05 – Stevie Wonderboy – 104


Add 19 to those ... and you're talking about a 2010 BC Classic with a 127 Beyer, a 2007 Breeders Cup Classic with a 132 Beyer, a 2006 Breeders Cup Classic with a 127 Beyer, and a 2005 Breeders Cup Classic with a 123 Beyer.

Instead of 127 we got 111. Instead of 132 we got 119. Instead of 127 we got 116. Instead of 123 we got 112.

If you believe the recent older males are as good as Skip Away and Black Tie Affair -- you also have to believe that Uncle Mo, War Pass, Street Sense, and Stevie Wonderboy would have all run Arazi and Favorite Trick completely off the TV Screen.