My post was not "bashing" Sun King as some ensued, but merely a simple and preliminary analysis of his chances to win to win the classic. He is a wonderful racehorse by any measure. Is he hopeless a week from Saturday? Not at all, but I am certain, that my initial post took some air out of some posters who were going to "key" him.
After all, he is not particularly bred for the trip, and has failed miserably at ten furlongs, in each of his five attempts. Add that to the fact that he will carry the package (126), and will face what is easily the best field of his career.
True the pace strongly figures legit, and SK runs late, but as a very, very, preliminary guesstimate, I would expect him off about 20-1 and his true chances, double that! Up until the last sentence if you were "off" him; and now your back onboard, WHY?
Euro, would think the Overbrook pedigree being; Storm Cat out of Train Robbery by Alydar would get you ten furlongs. If not put Pat Day up and send!!
Slot, 44 etc. Indeed, as horses get older they establish certain tendencies, but their pedigree does not change. BBB
|
10-24-2006, 07:20 PM
Threaded Mode