Graded Stakes and Polytrack

[repent]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

Here you go, I picked Asi Siempre before the race was run:

http://www.thoroughbrednet.us/discus...pic=9372&st=20

Yes, she is a very good turf filly.

a very good turf filly?
I guess in the general sense in that anyone would love to own her.
but she is not Wait A While.
hell, she is not even Karens Caper or Pommes Frittes.

Repent

[repent]

ok,
Im out of here guys.
at least I started a thread that generated some response unlike my failed Los Al threads over in the Non Thoroughbred section of the forum.

later guys.


Repent

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by repent

a very good turf filly?
I guess in the general sense in that anyone would love to own her.
but she is not Wait A While.
hell, she is not even Karens Caper or Pommes Frittes.

Repent

The reality though this year is that the Distaff Division is very weak. We barely have anyone cracking 100 Beyer's consistently and very few hitting 105 period. On the turf side there are a lot more fillies and mares doing that.

So the 5th or 6th best FM Turf horse is better than the 5th or 6th best Distaff horse.

I like Great Hunter more than Quay but the short stretch at a mile and a sixteenth is a big concern to me to take any closer. I'll fully cap it later but I'm going to need to see tons of pace before I will back Quay.

The Spinster will be a better gauge of how established horses handle the stuff. Happy Ticket is a pretty consistent horse. If she runs a sub 95 Beyer and doesn't hit the top three here I'll give credence to the idea that there will be good dirt horses that can't handle the poly.


read your words Sniper, do you recognize them?!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Lemons ran twice on polytrack, winning once and finishing a fast closing third in the stakes falling a length short of winning. I don't see how that is so inconsistent with her form.

I'm looking for a good example of an established dirt horse not running well. Say Happy Ticket or Spun Sugar really tank. Then I'd give some more credence to the theory that good dirt horses won't like poly. You know what though, I betcha they wind up running 1-2 because they are the best horses in the race and the best horses won't have a problem with poly

THESE WERE YOUR WORDS ON 10-05-2006!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Now oh redboarding one. Explain to me how you can say that Spun and Happy will run 1-2, then say that you picked Asi Siempre to win, blah blah blah. Happy now? That everyone can see this?
Oh, and I told you lemons hated it, you said she didn't. WHo was right?
You said if Happy failed to run a 95 Beyer and missed the board that you would give credence. Now you don't.
This act is old, and its nauseating. redboarding is absolutely the worst thing anyone can do in the horse game.

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by oracle80

I like Great Hunter more than Quay but the short stretch at a mile and a sixteenth is a big concern to me to take any closer. I'll fully cap it later but I'm going to need to see tons of pace before I will back Quay.

Nice, bring out the post before I fully capped the race and found out the short stretch was no longer an issue but ignore the one I posted later with my picks.

As far as Lemons, she ran just fine in the Spinster. She can barely run 4th in most 3yo races and she ran just fine to get 4th in a G1 against older horses.