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#1
01-04-2011, 10:44 AM
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Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!" 
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#2
01-04-2011, 10:49 AM
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Moneypenny is one suit short of a full closet.
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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#3
01-04-2011, 10:51 AM
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Quote:
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#6
01-04-2011, 03:41 PM
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The 6th definitely has the look of a race where you want to shop around a bit.
The 2 ran well for a Matz firster and that's not surprising considering she's by Speightstown, who's almost a 20% debut sire. The filly she beat had a perfect trip, was 0-7 coming in and came back to win a weak N1X while improving her Beyer 5 pts. Matz is 0 for his last 9 with the favorite in Gulfstream dirt races for 3YOs. Seth Benzel is 0-45 in his career with firsters in MSW races on the dirt. His lone FTS winners (he's 3-80 overall) came in a maiden claimer this summer at Saratoga, a turf sprint last summer at Saratoga, and in a turf route at Aqu in 2008. The huge gap in her works is disconcerting. Devotion Unbridled, the dam, was a nice horse and her first foal to race won on dirt. Her 2nd foal is Unbridled Humor, who broke her maiden in September at Saratoga at first asking, then won a N1X at Kee and an overnight stake at Aqu, all on turf. This horse has the look of a router on the grass. One horse that caught my eye a bit was Media Starlett. Mass Media has had 4 debut winners from 20 to race and the dam's first foal is a 10x winner (9 of them in sprints). What stuck out to me was that Kathleen O'Connell has started 19 firsters at GP in the last five years and 51 at Tampa. It's certainly not a huge ship but she could have easily started this filly at Tampa. The fact that she's working the way she is and is running for 51k instead of 21k or so is worth noting. The 2nd time starter on the outside, Sweetly Valid, had a tough trip first time out but has come back to work well. Her trainer does better with 2nd timers and her dam was a crack sprinter who won over 400k. I really like Litigating in the turf race. She was a nice winner at Kee then had a bit of trouble in the stake at Calder where she was totally pace compromised. Melody Dawn is interesting because Graham Motion was 3-10 last year with horses shipping in from overseas, that includes Aruna, who went 3-3 between September and November. I feel like Roxy Gap is a bet against in the feature but have few alternatives. She has been laid up for quite some time (I know she's in good hands) and Casse has a very poor record with horses coming off 100-200 day layoffs in sprint races, that's of course as applicable as you want to make it. His numbers are just 10% with a $0.67 ROI. Her dam was winless on turf and her lone sibling to race ran three horrible races for Tom Albertrani on turf and dirt before going to Woodbine to break his maiden in a claimer on Polytrack. The horses Quantum Miss have faced are absolutely putrid. She's done what's been asked of her but they are tragically bad. I could see Pomeroys Pistol running a bit better after having a bit of a tough trip in a stake in October. It may be useless, but in the first two weeks of each of the last three meets Amy Tarrant has brought back a horse off a 60+ day layoff to win and her ROI with horses off 61-180 day layoffs at GP is $4.17. You could do worse than give this horse a look.
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#7
01-04-2011, 05:26 PM
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#8
01-04-2011, 10:12 PM
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FWIW, I like Silent Joy alot with the trainer change and not a fan of Litigating at all. IMO, she is gonna be way overbet because of connections and last trip and that was against restricted company. I am on the fence with Scace's horse in the feature. Running in this race makes zero sense off that last effort unless that last effort was a prep. Martinez did hit her down the lane in that race, but really wasn't trying 'that' hard. She probably goes off at ML or greater and Scace's numbers at GP are pretty good also, with a large ROI
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#9
01-04-2011, 10:49 AM
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FRIDAY 1/7 - 8th Race ALLOWANCE
1 Mile Dirt. Purse $51,500. FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING OR STARTER OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. 1 Black N Beauty 3 C L 120 Desormeaux Kent J. Romans Dale L. 2 Madness N' Mayhem 3 C L 122 Dominguez Eddie Tortora Emanuel 3 Wildcat Formation 3 C L 115 Alvarez Jose L. Parboo Bisnath 4 Printing Press 3 C L 120 Trujillo Elvis Pompay Teresa M. 5 Fightingforfreedom 3 C L 120 Leyva Juan C. Benson Harry 6 Voce Del Leone 3 C L 120 Coa Eibar Campitelli Francis P. 7 Dr. Tom G 3 C L 120 Lezcano Jose Zito Nicholas P. 8 Hammock Beach 3 C L 120 Velazquez John R. Pletcher Todd A. 9 Shadow Warrior 3 C L 122 Leparoux Julien R. Arnold, II George R. 10 El Grayling 3 C L 120 Baze Michael C. Maker Michael J.
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#10
01-10-2011, 06:14 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#11
01-10-2011, 06:19 AM
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Saturday's non-stake 3yo's:
8Jan11 (5GP) Alw 51500n1x (6f) Dream of Atlantis 77 (Alvarez J/Gulyas P) 8Jan11 (6GP) Md Sp Wt (1m) Fort Larned 70 (Bridgmohan J/Wilkes I)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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