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  #1  
Old 10-15-2006, 11:46 AM
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paisjpq paisjpq is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
I think we're making too much of the surface and not enough of a stretch now longer than Churchill's.. (At least according to Rogers Beasley...)
AND the stretch is no longer DOWNHILL...
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Old 10-15-2006, 11:50 AM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by paisjpq
AND the stretch is no longer DOWNHILL...
Well the old track was ridiculous and 50% frontrunners was just plain wrong. I think if we are truly looking for an unbiased surface then frontrunners winning at a 15% (maybe 20%) clip should be about right. 3 for 50 is probably significant enough to say it is biased against frontrunners, at least to a small degree.
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Old 10-15-2006, 11:53 AM
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NoCarolinaTony NoCarolinaTony is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Well the old track was ridiculous and 50% frontrunners was just plain wrong. I think if we are truly looking for an unbiased surface then frontrunners winning at a 15% (maybe 20%) clip should be about right. 3 for 50 is probably significant enough to say it is biased against frontrunners, at least to a small degree.
I was there the first three days, and I would say that the jockeys rode a little tentatively on the surface the first few races trying to get a feel. In the very first race no one wanted the lead. Was run like a turf race.

NC Tony
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  #4  
Old 10-15-2006, 11:56 AM
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paisjpq paisjpq is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Well the old track was ridiculous and 50% frontrunners was just plain wrong. I think if we are truly looking for an unbiased surface then frontrunners winning at a 15% (maybe 20%) clip should be about right. 3 for 50 is probably significant enough to say it is biased against frontrunners, at least to a small degree.
I agree that the bias has switched to closers but I stilll think that as the track gets used and the maitenance crew works it the numbers will even out.
plus tony makes a good point that the jocks may have been playing it differently trying to figure it out.
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Old 10-15-2006, 12:02 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by paisjpq
I agree that the bias has switched to closers but I stilll think that as the track gets used and the maitenance crew works it the numbers will even out.
plus tony makes a good point that the jocks may have been playing it differently trying to figure it out.
Not to mention as word of the bias gets out there may be trainers shipping their good frontrunners out rather than running them on a track with a perceived bias.
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  #6  
Old 10-15-2006, 03:25 PM
pba1817 pba1817 is offline
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Why was Kenneland the greatest place when it was a 100% inside speed biased track, but now the place sucks since it has changed to a different type of track bias?!?!?!?!?

It seems to me that the people who are struggling to figure the new Keeneland out have no idea how to handicap for anything but early speed.
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  #7  
Old 10-15-2006, 11:51 AM
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NoCarolinaTony NoCarolinaTony is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by paisjpq
AND the stretch is no longer DOWNHILL...
Excellent Point!! The track itself didn't realize that you were running uphill on the backside and downhill down the stretch until they used GPS and regraded the surface.

NC Tony
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