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  #1  
Old 10-21-2010, 01:22 AM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dahoss View Post
That's a real bad opinion.
Yeah, you and Meyer Lansky can have the #1 rated team in football by the fancy stats people.

I'll take the team that just got disposed of by the freaking sad Raiders and the sad Rams in back to back weeks .. and just lost their best offensive player to injury.

Go to a sports bar ... ask anyone you see Pats (-3.5) against the Chargers - 98% of the people will tell you the Pats are the bet. You can tell all of them "that's a real good opinion"

The Patriots are now dink and dunk. The defense doesn't show up on the road. I don't know a god damned thing about the Chargers ... but I'd take any team with half a pulse over the Pats right now.

As much as you may think - I'm not saying this to lure you past confliction and into cheering the Pats on - this isn't some devious ploy of mine. I really think the Pats will be exposed now that they've put that film on tape. I know absolutely nothing about like 30.5 of the 32 teams in the NFL. I do know the Pats.
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Old 10-21-2010, 01:23 AM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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San Diego's favored by 2.5. Didn't you also use the 'sports bar' argument to talk about what a lock the Bills/Under were in Week 4?
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Old 10-21-2010, 01:32 AM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Chargers are favorites Sunday?

I thought I heard the Pats were.

In that case, let me revise my final score.

San Diego 30
New England 9
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  #4  
Old 10-21-2010, 01:37 AM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
San Diego's favored by 2.5. Didn't you also use the 'sports bar' argument to talk about what a lock the Bills/Under were in Week 4?
Yes. I went 2-2 that week with a slight underdog on the money line. I'm 5-4 with my silly football picks on here... 6-4 if you count the Vikings game last week though I didn't bet that.

I'm basically a veritable coin flip when I attempt to handicap these un-handicappable games. I bet peanuts on these games as much for the entertainment value as anything else.

The one trend I've noticed though - is that when a line looks too good to be true - it isn't about 60% of the time or more - And the one team I know is New England.
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Old 10-21-2010, 01:39 AM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS View Post
Yes. I went 2-2 that week with a slight underdog on the money line. I'm 5-4 with my silly football picks on here... 6-4 if you count the Vikings game last week though I didn't bet that.

I'm basically a veritable coin flip when I attempt to handicap these un-handicappable games.

The one trend I've noticed though - is that when a line looks too good to be true - it never is. And the one team I know is New England.
That's not a trend, that's basic football handicapping strategy. I disagree that the Pats look too good to be true this week. The line I think looks like a cinch and therefore is probably dangerous this week is Atlanta -3.5 at home vs. Cincinnati.
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Old 10-21-2010, 01:44 AM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid View Post
That's not a trend, that's basic football handicapping strategy. I disagree that the Pats look too good to be true this week. The line I think looks like a cinch and therefore is probably dangerous this week is Atlanta -3.5 at home vs. Cincinnati.
Come on man. The Pats are dogs to a freaking team that just lost to the Oakland Faders and St. Louis Lambs in back to back weeks AND lost their best player to injury.

I would have expected the line to be Pats -5 .. and most people liking the Pats at that number.
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Old 10-21-2010, 02:19 AM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS View Post
Come on man. The Pats are dogs to a freaking team that just lost to the Oakland Faders and St. Louis Lambs in back to back weeks AND lost their best player to injury.

I would have expected the line to be Pats -5 .. and most people liking the Pats at that number.
They're a preseason Super Bowl contender who's 2-4, desperately needing a win and it's well known that the Pats suck on the road. Philip Rivers was lost to injury? Anybody who knows how lines are constructed could've told you before they came out that SD would be favored. It's not a trap line. NYG/DAL is basically the same game and the same line.
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Old 10-21-2010, 10:01 AM
horseofcourse horseofcourse is offline
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They're the same team with or without Moss. they'll play different but will have the same success level. They weren't going to the Super bowl with Moss and won't without him. They may still make the playoffs as they would have with Moss.
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