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#2
10-11-2006, 10:26 AM
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If Bernardini doesn't win, it will be the biggest upset in BC history. If Lava Man isn't the one that beats him, there should be a police investigation. Nobody else has a prayer.
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020) Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine 
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#3
10-11-2006, 10:28 AM
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perfect drift, yes im a huge fan but his form hasnt tailed off and of course hes got homecourt advantage
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#4
10-11-2006, 10:30 AM
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#5
10-11-2006, 10:34 AM
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hmmmmm love the horse but how quickly have you forgotten that when he moved east last fall away from cali he got spanked
Everybody ran bad that day except for Borrego. Flower Alley was up the track and came back to run a respectable 2nd to Saint Liam in the Classic. Lava Man is a completely different horse a year later, much better than he was at this time last year and he ships 1 month before the race instead of 3 days. I like his chances better than Perfect Drifts, but call me crazy I guess.
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#6
10-11-2006, 10:37 AM
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well tim hell get another chance to prove it! last year at the time everyone was saying lava man was the next superhorse before the race and look what happened! the one thing you can say in lava's defense last year was the pace was totally against him and totally set it up for borrego, lava man was a solid bet against in the race and borrego was a "gift" 5-1. LOL please dont mention the overrated flower alley into the equation tim
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#7
10-11-2006, 10:42 AM
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#8
10-11-2006, 10:44 AM
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#9
10-11-2006, 10:34 AM
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lava man and david junior. but david junior's chances are very slim due to not having a prep.
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#10
10-11-2006, 10:38 AM
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I think it's Lava Man. If speed holds at CD, he will be extremely tough to get by. A sneaky pace scenario would really help his chances as well.
As for how he ran in the east last year. It was miserable, but LM had clearly started to regress when he left the west last year. This year he has been more consistent and is capable of running his best.
__________________
Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit.
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#11
10-11-2006, 10:39 AM
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Only bad luck can beat Bernardini. I still remember Slew being nosed out by Exceller in the JCGC 1978(after Afffirmed's saddle slipped). I do not expect history to repeat itself. Bernardini will be tested, but he will win once again.
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#12
10-11-2006, 10:45 AM
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If we're talking the Classic, I'd guess that it would take a multi-horse tag team effort to beat Bernardini... (ala the stunt pulled by Bailey and Solis on Eddington and Rock Hard Ten in the Belmont versus Smarty Jones)...
Early and constant harrassment and urging by Lava Man, Premium Tap, Lawyer Ron, etc.. followed by stalking attacks from Invasor, Brother Derek, Flower Alley, etc.. and late stretch runs from Sun King, Giacomo and Perfect Drift would be the scenario that could beat him.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#13
10-11-2006, 10:55 AM
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http://www.timesunion.com/AspStories...ate=10/10/2006 What's Bernardini's future? No decision has been made on whether Jockey Club Gold Cup winner Bernardini will race next year at the age of 4. If he wins the Breeders' Cup Classic, Bernardini will end the year with seven wins in eight starts this year and certainly will be Horse of the Year. Trainer Tom Albertrani said there has been no decision on whether Bernardini will race next year or go straight to the breeding shed. Bernardini is owned by Sheikh Mohammed of Dubai. "It's always good when you have a horse like this; more people focus on racing when they might normally not," Albertrani said. "I would love to have him next year, but no one has mentioned anything to me at all." There will be an announcement after the Breeders' Cup.
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#14
10-11-2006, 10:30 AM
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lava man? hmmmmm love the horse but how quickly have you forgotten that when he moved east last fall away from cali he got spanked
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#15
10-11-2006, 10:37 AM
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#16
10-11-2006, 10:38 AM
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#17
10-11-2006, 10:41 AM
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1 thing that will work against PD is the track coming up sloppy. he can handle the off going but will not run his best race over it. if it comes up that way then id discount him at the windows, lol even tho i wont hes getting my usual 50 and 50 on him no matter what
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