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#1
09-24-2010, 09:43 PM
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9/25: Belmont (1st-10th): Philadelphia (PA Derby)
Off to 5:00a launch of Hot Air Balloon Festival in Glens Falls... Will try to get changes up before first post!
BELMONT PARK POST-SCRATCHES 1st: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Eagle Strike 2-1 2nd Best Value: #10 The Truffle Man 6-1 8th Next Best: #4 B B Frank 7-2 WON ($6.70) Super Add: #7 King Andrew 3-1 3rd 2nd: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Elsie's Warrior 3-1 3rd Next Best: #8 Dirt Track Demon 10-1 7th Best Value: #5 Komisarek 12-1 4th Super Add: #7 Good to Be Me 5-1 8th .10 SUPER PLAY: 6/3rd-8 with 5/4th-6-8 with 2-4/WON-5-6-7-8 with ALL/2nd (2x2x4x6 = 96 x .10 = $9.60) I can't figure out best structuring for these dime supers... Paid nearly 30-1. 3rd: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #2 Overlap 5-2 6th Next Best: #7 Adams Circle 7-2 3rd Best Value: #6 Insightful 5-1 4th Super Add: #1 Smooth Transition 4-1 WON ($9.70) 4th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Gathering Cloud 5-2 2nd Next Best: #5 Capital Market 9-2 WON ($8.20) Best Value: #2 Hybrid 10-1 8th Super Add: #6 Avenging Spirit 6-1 5th 5th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Not much to go on here. #4 Uncle Carm has sib strength as a half to Leah's Secret, and #9 Caneros was dropped by the superb Kalookan Queen.. Best Value: #7 Backdown 6-1 8th Next Best: #3 City Cool 7-2 2nd Exotics Use: #4 Uncle Carm 8-1 6th Super Add: #5 Leave of Absence 5-1 3rd <$75 P4 Play: 2: 2-4-5-6-7-8 3: 2-7 4: 7 5: 3-4-5-7-9-11 6x2x1x6 = $72 6th: OC/C, 3+, 8.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Lemon Spice 5-2 2nd Best Value: #6 Uwannapieceofthis 8-1 3rd Next Best: #9 Stevil 4-1 WON ($7.10) Super Add: #3 Conservative 15-1 4th 7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #6 Screenplay 8-1 8th Exotics Use: #8 Rigby 8-1 4th Next Best: #4 Hasten to Be King 8-1 9th Super Add: #3 Shimmering Forest 3-1 3rd 8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Will really miss these and NY bred turf ALW's when lawn season ends. They've been the bread and butter score opps of the whole summer. Yes they have them in Florida, California and New Orleans, but the NY versions have been highly lucrative this annum as the 'right' price plays have made themselves at least partially evident on a regular basis.. Most Likely: #9 Pretty Boy Freud 9-2 2nd Best Value: #4 Cherokee Speed 8-1 8th Next Best: #3 Devon Rock 3-1 5th Super Add: #6 Hammock 10-1 9th 9th: 17th Gallant Bloom (G2), F&M-3+, 6.5f (DD, Super) Anticipate the SCR of #3 First Passage.. Best Value: #4 Qualia 5-1 4th Next Best: #2 Sara Louise 2-1 3rd Exotics Use: #8 Rapport 3-1 6th Super Add: #7 Moontune Missy 8-1 2nd 10th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super) Most Likely: #9 Beresford 4-1 10th Best Value: #1 Empty Handed 10-1 2nd Next Best: #7 Tigresco 6-1 WON ($13.00) Super Add: #12 Bold Vindication 5-1 6th <$75 P4 Play: 7: 3-4-6-8-9-10 8: 3-4-9 9: 2-4 10: 2/SCR-9 6x3x2x2 = #72 PHILADELPHIA PARK (PARX) POST-SCRATCHES 11th: Pennsylvania Derby (G2), 3yo, 9f Best Value: #7 SCR Next Best: #3 Afleet Again 12-1 5th Exotics Use: #6 First Dude 8-5 2nd Super Add: #1 Exhi 5-2 4th Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 09-26-2010 at 08:34 AM. 
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#2
09-25-2010, 10:07 AM
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Formulator has Friend Or Foe scratched.
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#3
09-25-2010, 10:12 AM
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BEL SCR/CHG'S
2ND 3 Aegean Sunrise Early 3RD 1A Single Malt Early 4TH 1A Java Man Early 11 Ae Pit Early 5TH 2 Break Up the Game Early 7TH 11 Golly Day Early 12 Lion Under Oath Early 13 Time for Tutt Early 14 Kick Up Your Heels Early 15 First of Ten Early 16 W. W.'s Lady's Man Early 8TH 11 Yes I'm Clever Early 12 Web Gem Early 9TH 3 First Passage Early 10TH NOTE: #11 Ticondero and #12 Bold Vindication both draw in... 2 Peace Wine Early 6 Kijo Early 13 Elder Skatesman Early 14 Saginaw Early 15 Dixie Nite Out Early 16 Talk to Nick Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
09-25-2010, 10:16 AM
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Quote:
PHA SCR/CHG'S
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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