Presque Isle at a mile

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by iamthelurker

Before I was just asking you how you would approach handicapping the race knowing that its a short run into the first turn. With the stats so against the outside posts, did you still bet the 9?

If the 9 in that race was breaking from posts 1 through 5 he would have been a near cinch. He had the best last race Beyer in the entire field - and the most early speed in the field.

However, because he had post 9, even with all closers to his inside - you basically had to hope he was ridden very aggressively. Which he was.

All meet long, jockeys aren't gunning horses early in routes. So - it would have been a tricky call. You bet at 13/1 and the rider bides his time, gets hung wide, and you're off the board. You don't bet at 13/1 and you watch him gun him - get a loose early lead - and win by a city block.

[clyde]

Oh my God.

[iamthelurker]

Originally Posted by clyde

Oh my God.

Bite me gopher man.

[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by iamthelurker

Bite me gopher man.

Vic?

[clyde]

!!


spit!!





I'm not GopherMan!!

[iamthelurker]

Originally Posted by clyde

!!


spit!!





I'm not GopherMan!!

Would you like Wolfman better?

[iamthelurker]

ZOMG! The one went wire to wire in the 4th! 9-1!

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Originally Posted by iamthelurker

ZOMG! The one went wire to wire in the 4th! 9-1!

Yep - got a loose lead from post 1 and paid $20.80 winning by about 5 lengths.

Two races at a mile so far, and two easy wire-to-wire longshot winners.

[clyde]

Originally Posted by iamthelurker

Would you like Wolfman better?

!!


Carla?

Thanks for playing