Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
You're wrong.
I would understand exactly why the payoff was less than the parlay. I don't have the time, or interest, in explaining this further. There are many sides...and all explain why the payoff was, essentially, as it was. You should understand all this stuff implicitly.
Pointing out " It was a very difficult sequence with some very difficult runners to have on the same ticket " is irrelevent...and a given considering there was $20 on the given sequence....less than .016% of the total pool.
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Actually, I'm not wrong. I've given you mathematical proof why I think it was much lower than expected, including reasonable adjustments based on the discussion, and it still ends up far lower than the parlay- and all you've presented is conjecture on one leg which may or may not be true, based on your educated guess.
Plenty of tickets have paid the quote-on-quote "correct" amount with 1/10000th of the pool winning, that isn't a viable answer, even though I granted you that it adds volatility to the result.
If you're going to play the "I'm much smarter than you" game which you've been resorting to frequently lately, you should make the time (and interest) to back it up. It's rather unfair to the rest of the people here if you don't.