What % Chance Of SS Winning The Triple?

[CSC]

Originally Posted by Travis Stone

I put his chances of winning next Saturday at 40%.... and not knowing how the Belmont field will look, figure he's 25-30% in there.... 10-12% overall.

I don't see how the Preakness field is shaping-up to be any more difficult than the Derby field. He's only run three times this year, so he's relatively fresh considering, and I think he's shown he's immune to insane pace scenarios... he can rate close, or a bit farther off.

I don't like him at all and at his projected odds he would be overbet, this even considering he was probably the most underlaid horse in the Derby, frankly I don't like any from the Derby race to come out and be a good bet. If Dublin got a new rider and trainer he might be more attractive, thus I am going to the new shooters list, and right at the top of that list is Hurricane Ike, he's improving at the right time and he's got an extra week to get ready for this. To me his 101 is alot more legitimate than the 104 that SS got in the Derby. I'll make my bed with Hurricane Ike in the Preakness.

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by CSC

I don't like him at all and at his projected odds he would be overbet, this even considering he was probably the most underlaid horse in the Derby, frankly I don't like any from the Derby race to come out and be a good bet. If Dublin got a new rider and trainer he might be more attractive, thus I am going to the new shooters list, and right at the top of that list is Hurricane Ike, he's improving at the right time and he's got an extra week to get ready for this. To me his 101 is alot more legitimate than the 104 that SS got in the Derby. I'll make my bed with Hurricane Ike in the Preakness.

No thanks at 9.5 furlongs. HI is not my kind of horse at all.

[CSC]

Originally Posted by randallscott35

No thanks at 9.5 furlongs. HI is not my kind of horse at all.

That's the 10K question, but why not? He looked like he was galloping out great in the derby trial, I'm more concerned that the last time a derby trial winner ran well in the Preak it was in the 90's with Alydeed.

[cakes44]

Originally Posted by CSC

That's the 10K question, but why not? He looked like he was galloping out great in the derby trial, I'm more concerned that the last time a derby trial winner ran well in the Preak it was in the 90's with Alydeed.

Macho Again

[CSC]

Originally Posted by cakes44

Macho Again

There are no Big Brown's this Preakness.