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Old 04-29-2010, 02:22 PM
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Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
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Here's one at TheGreek that looks tempting ...

Odds to finish in the EXACT 10th position
701 Lookin At Lucky +1615
702 Ice Box +1615
703 Nobles Promise +1615
704 Super Saver +1615
705 Line of David +1615
706 Stately Victor +1615
707 American Lion +1615
708 Deans Kitten +1615
709 Make Music For Me +1615
710 Paddy OPrado +1615
711 Devil May Care +1615
712 Conveyance +1615
713 Jackson Bend +1615
714 Mission Impazible +1615
715 Discreetly Mine +1615
716 Awesome Act +1615
717 Dublin +1615
718 Backtalk +1615
719 Homeboykris +1615
720 Sidneys Candy +1615


In other words, you get 16.15 to 1 on ANY horse you want, and you get paid if it finishes 10th.

If all the horses have an equal chance to finish 10th, then the bet has a vig of -14%. BUT, if you can eliminate 4 horses from finishing 10th, then the bet has an average return of +7%.

So, which 4 (or more) horses will definitely NOT finish 10th?


--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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