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  #1  
Old 12-15-2009, 06:01 PM
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RolloTomasi RolloTomasi is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
The race today ended up coming off the grass and it ended up being a 4 horse field. Hunch was 8-5, which isn't a bad price on the best horse in a 4 horse field. I couldn't make a big bet though because I did find out that they were in fact planning on running in the Malibu in 15 days. So I knew that they didn't want him to run too hard today. He ended up winning pretty easily. He was geared down the final 70 yards or so. He didn't run his hardest but he still ran harder than I would have liked for a horse that is going to run back in 15 days. I'm on the fence about him in the Malibu.
So far mentioned for the Malibu:

Misremembered
Papa Clem
Smart Bid
Kinsella
Join In The Dance

I would guess M One Rifle, Chocolate Candy, Massone, Quindici Man, Acclimation, Viscount and Square Eddie might have it on the radar.
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  #2  
Old 12-15-2009, 06:15 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
So far mentioned for the Malibu:

Misremembered
Papa Clem
Smart Bid
Kinsella
Join In The Dance

I would guess M One Rifle, Chocolate Candy, Massone, Quindici Man, Acclimation, Viscount and Square Eddie might have it on the radar.

What happened to this thread? Its supposed to be good 2 yr olds.
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  #3  
Old 12-15-2009, 08:03 PM
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RolloTomasi RolloTomasi is offline
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Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985
What happened to this thread? Its supposed to be good 2 yr olds.
Weren't you answering questions about DRF Formulator on this very page?

But hey, my bad.

I should have waited 2 weeks, then everyone else would be in the same boat.
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  #4  
Old 12-16-2009, 02:21 AM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
So far mentioned for the Malibu:

Misremembered
Papa Clem
Smart Bid
Kinsella
Join In The Dance

I would guess M One Rifle, Chocolate Candy, Massone, Quindici Man, Acclimation, Viscount and Square Eddie might have it on the radar.
After the Damascus, I thought Smart Bid would be the horse to beat in the Malibu. But I kept checking the work tab and he didn't have any works so I assumed he had gotten hurt. Now I see that he just started working again, so I assume he will run in the Malibu.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Coronet of a Baron in there. I think that Monolingual is even a possibility. It will be interesting to see if Hunch ends up running. It would be a fairly tall order to come back in 15 days. But I do know that the connections were pointing him for the race. It will probably just depend how he came out of the allowance race the other day.
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  #5  
Old 12-16-2009, 04:29 AM
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VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
After the Damascus, I thought Smart Bid would be the horse to beat in the Malibu. But I kept checking the work tab and he didn't have any works so I assumed he had gotten hurt. Now I see that he just started working again, so I assume he will run in the Malibu.

I wouldn't be surprised to see Coronet of a Baron in there. I think that Monolingual is even a possibility. It will be interesting to see if Hunch ends up running. It would be a fairly tall order to come back in 15 days. But I do know that the connections were pointing him for the race. It will probably just depend how he came out of the allowance race the other day.
It's not unlike Motion at all to wait 4 weeks to work a horse after a big race.
He seems to prefer to train them instead of racing them.
Especially since he just ran big at SA and the G1 Malibu is at SA.
If I was Smart Bid's trainer I would be tempted to take down one of the 4 horse fields at HWP to fill the time gap.
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  #6  
Old 12-16-2009, 04:47 AM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK
It's not unlike Motion at all to wait 4 weeks to work a horse after a big race.
He seems to prefer to train them instead of racing them.
Especially since he just ran big at SA and the G1 Malibu is at SA.
If I was Smart Bid's trainer I would be tempted to take down one of the 4 horse fields at HWP to fill the time gap.
In this case, you wouldn't think that Smart Bid would have needed a break after that race. He hadn't run since April. The Damascus was his first race in over 7 months. It doesn't surprise me that Motion would have skipped Hollywood. There weren't really any great races for him over there. But it does surprise me that he didn't work the horse for 4 1/2 weeks after the Damascus. As I said, that was his first race in 7 months. If the horse came out of the race in good shape, wouldn't that be unusual for Motion to wait that long for a work considering that the horse was so fresh going into the Damascus?
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  #7  
Old 12-16-2009, 06:05 AM
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VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
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Motion is somewhat different when it comes works and spacing of works and races.
I read on his blog that Smart Bid was being pointed for the Malibu or the Sir Beaufort on the same day. I don't take that as a huge vote of confidence.
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  #8  
Old 12-16-2009, 12:47 PM
Rupert Pupkin Rupert Pupkin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK
Motion is somewhat different when it comes works and spacing of works and races.
I read on his blog that Smart Bid was being pointed for the Malibu or the Sir Beaufort on the same day. I don't take that as a huge vote of confidence.
I agree with you. That is very surpising that he would even be considering the Sir Beaufort. The horse just ran his best race ever at 7 furlongs at Santa Anita. Now he has a chance to win a Grade I at the same distance at the same track. He is by Smart Strike. A Grade I win would be huge for his value. If the horse is doing well, it seems like a no brainer to run in the Malibu.
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  #9  
Old 12-16-2009, 02:34 PM
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RolloTomasi RolloTomasi is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rupert Pupkin
I agree with you. That is very surpising that he would even be considering the Sir Beaufort. The horse just ran his best race ever at 7 furlongs at Santa Anita. Now he has a chance to win a Grade I at the same distance at the same track. He is by Smart Strike. A Grade I win would be huge for his value. If the horse is doing well, it seems like a no brainer to run in the Malibu.
Before the Damascus, Smart Bid's synthetic form was suspect at best (hence the long odds). On the other hand, he has a very good turf record, including a graded stakes placing, so I would say its a no-brainer that he'd be nominated for both even though Motion is probably leaning to the Malibu.

In addition, you never know what the weather is going to be like, the Sir Beaufort could easily come off-the-turf (Gio Ponti's synthetic win) making it likely an easier score than the Malibu.
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