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#1
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First of all ... you're fortunate that I've raised two exceptional children to adulthood ........ no wait ... that was my last post. Ummm ... Rupe ... what you're doing is making an assumption that horses who race less frequently are more sound ... and therefore ... [a] If they run even less frequently ... they'll become even more sound ... and ... [b] If they run more frequently ... they'll become less sound. You're using circular reasoning to reinforce a premise which is not only false to begin with ... but which is contadicted by actual experience. What Phalaris and I have been proposing ... all backed by actual racing history ... is that when horses begin their racing careers earlier ... receiving training and racing appropriate to their individual needs ... they'll become MORE fit ... not LESS fit ... ... and much more able to withstand the rigors of a career as a professional athlete. Do you understand that? Let's make an imperfect analogy ... suppose Earl Woods had waited until Tiger was 21 to take him to a golf course ... how good a golfer do you think Tiger would (wood?) be today? Take a look at all the best human athletes in every sport ... when did they start to play and how frequently did they play? Right ... they started when they were kids ... and they played until their mothers came to drag them home. Can you understand that? An earlier start in the sport ... earlier training and earlier conditioning and frequent participation ... makes an athlete BETTER able to sustain a long career ... not LESS. |
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#2
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In the meantime, I'll trot out some examples of horses who somehow, miraculously, survived campaigns you say that horses can't handle. The old American Racing Manuals had an interesting feature. They used to include the past performances of all the horses rated on the Experimental and Free handicaps in the early 1960s. Let's see what kind of race records that the horses who were good enough to make the Experimental Handicap at 2 and the Free Handicap at 3 and 4 had: Foals of 1957 Colts and Geldings All Hands - 9 starts at 2, 17 starts at 3, 13 starts at 4 April Skies - 9 starts at 2, 23 starts at 3, 18 starts at 4 Bourbon Prince - 12 stars at 2, 11 starts at 3, 15 starts at 4 Conestoga - 11 starts at 2, 17 starts at 3, 9 starts at 4 Count Amber - 15 starts at 2, 17 starts at 3, 10 starts at 4 Heroshogala - 15 starts at 2, 21 starts at 3, 21 starts at 4 New Policy - 11 starts at 2, 16 starts at 3, 12 starts at 4 Pied d'Or - 13 starts at 2, 19 starts at 3, 21 starts at 4 Run for Nurse - 21 starts at 2, 18 starts at 3, 19 starts at 4 T.V. Lark - 14 starts at 2, 23 starts at 3, 18 starts at 4 Fillies Airmans Guide - 6 starts at 2, 4 starts at 3, 10 starts at 4 Darling June - 11 starts at 2, 10 starts at 3, 15 starts at 4 Evening Glow - 7 starts at 2, 5 starts at 3, 17 starts at 4 Make Sail - 4 starts at 2, 19 starts at 3, 18 starts at 4 My Dear Girl - 7 starts at 2, 11 starts at 3, 2 starts at 4 Rash Statement - 12 starts at 2, 17 starts at 3, 17 starts at 4 Sarcastic - 8 starts at 2, 14 starts at 3, 10 starts at 4 Undulation - 3 starts at 2, 10 starts at 3, 4 starts at 4 Foals of 1958 Colts and Geldings Beau Prince - 11 starts at 2, 18 starts at 3, 14 starts at 4 Bluescope - 7 starts at 2, 16 starts at 3, 14 starts at 4 Carry Back - 21 starts at 2, 16 starts at 3, 18 starts at 4 Crozier - 6 starts at 2, 15 starts at 3, 9 starts at 4 Editorialist - 12 starts at 2, 14 starts at 3, 18 starts at 4 Garwol - 18 starts at 2, 16 starts at 3, 26 starts at 4 Globemaster - 11 starts at 2, 10 starts at 3, 6 starts at 4 Guadalcanal - 4 starts at 2, 10 starts at 3, 15 starts at 4 Hitting Away - 3 starts at 2, 15 starts at 3, 19 starts at 4 Olden Times - 6 starts at 2, 9 starts at 3, 13 starts at 4 Try Cash - 8 starts at 2, 16 starts at 3, 21 starts at 4 Vapor Whirl - 18 starts at 2, 15 starts at 3, 4 starts at 4 Fillies Counter Call - 5 starts at 2, 9 starts at 3, 16 starts at 4 Mighty Fair - 8 starts at 2, 27 starts at 3, 16 starts at 4 My Portrait - 10 starts at 2, 17 starts at 3, 19 starts at 4 Play Time - 9 starts at 2, 12 starts at 3, 15 starts at 4 Primonetta - 4 starts at 2, 11 starts at 3, 10 starts at 4 Shuette - 8 starts at 2, 18 starts at 3, 18 starts at 4 Smashing Gail - 8 starts at 2, 11 starts at 3, 7 starts at 4 Times Two - 11 starts at 2, 18 starts at 3, 22 starts at 4 Foals of 1959 Colts and Geldings Admiral's Voyage - 11 starts at 2, 14 starts at 3, 15 starts at 4 Decidedly - 8 starts at 2, 12 starts at 3, 13 starts at 4 Doc Jocoy - 8 starts at 2, 16 starts at 3, 5 starts at 4 Donut King - 14 starts at 2, 7 starts at 3, 10 starts at 4 Greek Money - 16 starts at 2, 12 starts at 3, 7 starts at 4 Jaipur - 7 starts at 2, 10 starts at 3, 2 starts at 4 Native Diver - 5 starts at 2, 11 starts at 3, 15 starts at 4 Ridan - 7 starts at 2, 13 starts at 3, 3 starts at 4 Smart - 20 starts at 2, 19 starts at 3, 15 starts at 4 Sunrise County - 11 starts at 2, 10 starts at 3, 13 starts at 4 Times Roman - 11 starts at 2, 16 starts at 3, 11 starts at 4 Fillies All Brandy - 11 starts at 2, 12 starts at 3, 12 starts at 4 Bramalea - 10 starts at 2, 18 starts at 3, 10 starts at 4 Cicada - 16 starts at 2, 17 starts at 3, 8 starts at 4 Firm Policy - 6 starts at 2, 10 starts at 3, 5 starts at 4 Royal Patrice - 5 starts at 2, 23 starts at 3, 8 starts at 4 Savaii - 7 starts at 2, 12 starts at 3, 22 starts at 4 Tamarona - 10 starts at 2, 19 starts at 3, 18 starts at 4 Upswept - 7 starts at 2, 12 starts at 3, 11 starts at 4 Some of these horses appeared at 5 and beyond on the Free Handicap, but I'm just looking at 2-3-4YO form. Of course these horses are products of another time: back when US thoroughbreds raced an average of over 10 times a year (vs. 6.5 today) and training intent was quite different. But you would have us believe that it's just plain not possible to have 10-15+ start seasons at any level, let alone among better stakes horses. You're wrong. The horses can do it, if that's the trainer's intent and they do it right. I could go on, but I actually do have other things I should be doing today. I'm going to assume that you get the point. Even though there are a few horses on these lists who were raced in a relatively "sparing" manner, that does not change the fact that there were many horses capable of running at a decent stakes level at 2-3-4 during these three sample years and most of them were raced anything but sparingly. Quote:
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