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Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I think the Preakness number is too high. It doesn't seem possible that Rachel Alexandra ran that fast given her overall trip. Plus, you also have to believe that both Mine That Bird and Musket Man improved off their Derby figs, Musket Man considerably, and I have trouble buying all of that together.
It's probably splitting hairs but 104 feels more accurate.
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Maybe the Derby fig was a touch high?
I think it's quite possible Musket Man actually improved off his Derby fig, MTB factoring ground loss I'm not sure if he could.
Regardless, the relationships on rarely run distances are tough to figure exactly. It was a great race out of RA and a good performance by MTB and Musket Man.
05-18-2009, 02:21 PM
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