Derby dosage angle

[richard burch]

Originally Posted by Dunbar

Okay, I never thought I'd start a thread with "dosage" in the title, but I couldn't resist shining a light on the stellar performance of the dosage angle in this year's Derby.

Mine That Bird's 5.40 dosage was the only dosage greater than 4.00 in this year's Derby. So, the only horse that should have been eliminated based on dosage was the horse that won.

The next two highest dosages in this year's Derby belonged to the 2nd and 3rd place horses: Musket Rat (4.00) and POTN (3.89).

http://www.horse-races.net/library/derby09-entries.htm

A new angle is born! The anti-dosage angle. The higher the dosage, the better the chance a horse has to win the Kentucky Derby.

Boxing the 3 highest dosages would have nailed the $41,500 trifecta for a $12 ticket. Who ever said that dosage was useless?!

--Dunbar

unbelievable. you are a swami.

[JJP]

Backfitting him. Exactly. Strike the Gold had something like a 6.00 dosage until he won the race and they re-worked some of his ancestors numbers. Voila....then he qualified......after the fact. I don't know if they ever reworked Creme Fraiche to qualify since he was something like a 20 or 21 dosage. They finally just gave up and said it was due to an off track.

[jpops757]

Originally Posted by JJP

Backfitting him. Exactly. Strike the Gold had something like a 6.00 dosage until he won the race and they re-worked some of his ancestors numbers. Voila....then he qualified......after the fact. I don't know if they ever reworked Creme Fraiche to qualify since he was something like a 20 or 21 dosage. They finally just gave up and said it was due to an off track.

What makes it a veryuseless tool for capping is that , while an evaluation of pedigree it always changes after the race is run. Would most call this redbording.

[Danzig]

from what i can recall about dosage, since i haven't read about it in quite a while (i don't really think it's that good of a measure of a horses) dosage relies on the strength of the pedigree with chef de race stallions of course having better numbers. they earn being called chef de race by becoming sires of note. obviously this hasn't happened as yet with birdstone. horses who have gotten info reworked have had changes made because their sires achieved chef de race status. so, mine that bird won't have his dosage reworked, since it's way too soon for birdstone to become a CDR stallion- or he may never get it.