Good capping vs Good betting

[Dunbar]

Originally Posted by eurobounce

I dont let odds influence what I bet.

That is a huge mistake, IMO. Identifying the horse most likely to win the race is not enough.

I never make a bet unless I think the odds justify the bet. That does not mean I would never bet chalk. I would (and have!) bet a 3-5 shot if I thought it had a 75% chance to win the race. I'll also bet a 60-1 shot if I think the odds should be 40-1.

Unless you are the beneificiary of a truckload of inside info, you need to have some idea what fair odds are for a horse before you bet it.

--Dunbar