Musket Man will most likely be an underlay of Derby Day. I like him, he's a nice horse, and a friend of mine is involved with him, but he's very unlikely to win the Derby and anything under 25 or 30 to one is probably an underlay.
Just because a horse is a big price ( small price ) doesn't mean it is an overlay ( underlay ). Musket Man won two supposed " big " races. He will be bet more because of a resume earned against pretty weak opposition than he will be underbet due to his relatively weaker races than a number of horses.
That being said, he will be an overlay in relation to Pioneer of the Nile.
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
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04-07-2009, 04:08 PM
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