I didn't mean to get you guys all up in arms. I was only bringing up a "what-if" scenario to begin with. I do think there are more casual race fans betting on any track on any day -- not just big handle days -- than you guys think, however. By casual fans, I mean those who are there to socialize and just enjoy the races -- those who are more likely to give a quick glance to a program and PPs they probably don't fully understand and then play the tote board. If they see a 6/1 who was a 7/2 in the ML, these players see value based on the odds alone. I've tried to introduce dozens of my friends the past few years to the races by taking them to the track (some have taken to it better than others), and as the day wears on I notice them taking to this type of strategy. I think it's natural for newbies and people who haven't taken the time to learn the game to be more receptive to falling back on the opinion of a perceived expert, the morning line. Do you really think everyone that wagers on the races even understands the basic handicapping fundamentals? I'm not even convinced that many of those that think they understand basic handicapping fundamentals really do. It's like the poker explosion of the past few years. Now, any jacksass who's watched a tournament on ESPN and owns a pair of sunglasses thinks he's Johnny Chan! If you don't observe this, you are the one who is nuts.
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01-23-2009, 06:56 AM
Hybrid Mode
