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  #1  
Old 12-12-2008, 05:24 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheSpyder
Race 7: #9 Galaxy Tax - Looks a top pick and a good price...Coming back to favorite track where the horse excelled last year, tuned back up and ready to go in a race where pace pressure will be string leaving him ready to take charge in late stretch.

Thoughts?

Spyder
Another really good race - haven't looked at the morning line ( a well documented joke here at Tampa) but I'm partial to Bernie Rhone's horses on the turf and Onotheregostokyo was a key part of an extra juicy P4 for me back in March. He loves the Tampa turf and gets my boy Dean Butler back this year. 2 sharp works since arriving at the friendly confines of Oldsmar...


Ness' horse could be trouble, but I doubt he draws in - a little rain on and off over the past few days as that front passed through, but we should certainly be fast and firm by post time. We typically don't get many turf scratches this early - you basically lose your date and won't get another start for a while so something would have to be pretty wrong to scratch.
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  #2  
Old 12-12-2008, 08:42 PM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
Default Opening Day Full Card

Should be Sunny and 70's by post time....

PRE SCRATCHES


Race 1 Clm 5000N2Y 7F 3yo & ^
The Ole’ dated nickel… A TBD standard and what better way to open the season

Most Likely: 2 King Glacken 7-2
Next Best: 4 Leonard G 6-1
Best Value: 12 Fierce Advocate 15-1
Exotics Use: 8 Playful Pal 5-1

Race 2 Clm 8000 N3L 6F F&M 3yo & ^

Most Likely: 6 Close the Deal 9-5
Next Best: 5 Inquisitive House 12-1
Best Value: 9 Capture the Beauty 16-1
Exotics Use: 2 Tis Premixed 8-1

Race 3 Alw 20200 N1X 6F 2yo

Most Likely: 5 Edopapas Ekepapa 5-2 Cannot wait to here Grunder pronounce this!
Best Value: 6 Call Nine One One 8-1
Next Best: 2 Scottish Mystery 2-1
Exotics Use: Promise Me Merlot 3-1

Race 4 Msw 20000 1 Mile Turf 2yo Fillies

Most Likely: 10 State Treasure 7-2
Best Value: 2 Don’t Get Married 12-1
Next Best: 6 Westling 5-1
Exotics Use: Islandia 9-2

Race 5 Clm 16000 N2L 6.5F 3yo & ^

Most Likely: 5 Heartaches 9-2
Next Best: 7 Golden Citizen E K 5-2
Best Value: 10 Flashy Wonder 15-1
Exotics Use: 3 Taxicab 15-1

Race 6 Msw 20000 6F F&M 3yo & ^

Most Likely: 2 PALACE CAT 2-1
Best Value: 9 Serata 8-1
Next Best: 7 Gallant Bid 4-1
Exotics Use: 6 Magna Heat 7-2

Race 7 OC 32000/N2X 1 & 1/16th Miles Turf 3yo & ^

Most Likely: 5 Onotheregostokoyo 5-2
Best Value: 10 Mr. Easy E 10-1
Next Best: 9 Galaxy Tax 6-1 (Note Sub AE12 Dawn Raider 4-1 if draws in)
Exotics Use: 1 Greycliff Exchange 9-2

Race 8 Clm 8000 6.5F 3yo & ^

Most Likely: 7 Kenny Run 2-1
Best Value: 1 Islandprospectrbob 8-1
Next Best: 2 Rahoo 7-2
Exotics Use: 3 Mandu Genius 4-1

Race 9 Alw 23500NC 6F F&M 3yo & ^
Very interesting conditioned allowance with the presence of multiple GSW Dream Rush. Will be beat to the ground at the windows and depending on form could well be vulnerable. Most will single here, I think there is value in spreading a bit as the pace scenario can change and offer a “Big Truck” like payoff in the multi race plays.

Most Likely: 7 Dream Rush 4-5
Best Value: 2 Fotografica 20-1
Next Best: 3 Mayomast 10-1
Exotics Use: 4 Lil’s Lassie 6-1

Race 10 The 5th Running of the Lightning City 65000 5F Turf F&M 3yo & ^

Most Likely: 8 Charlie Papa 5-1
Next Best: 6 Jazzy 3-1
Exotics Use A: 5 Taletobetold 7-2
Exotics Use B: 10 Bucky’s Prayer 9-2

Race 11 Mdn 25000 6F Fillies 2yo

Most Likely: 5 Free Light 7-2
Next Best: 12 This Gal is Mine 5-2
Best Value: 9 Jean the Queen 5-1
Exotics Use: 1 Song of Alydar 8-1


P4 Big Ticket:

1,2,7//2,3,4,7//2,5,6,8,10//5,9,12

180.00

Small:

2,7//2,3,7//5,6,8,10//5,12

48.00


Good Luck All

Last edited by Rudeboyelvis : 12-13-2008 at 07:22 AM.
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  #3  
Old 12-13-2008, 06:27 AM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
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Dan...your big ticky is a buck eighty.
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  #4  
Old 12-13-2008, 06:29 AM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
Goodwood
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 8,577
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK
Dan...your big ticky is a buck eighty.
He's might be a little short today. He may need one. Look for him to get a lot out of today and be ready to fire next out.
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  #5  
Old 12-13-2008, 06:31 AM
GPK GPK is offline
5'8".. but all man!
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: 3 miles from Chateuax de la Blaha
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bigsmc
He's might be a little short today. He may need one. Look for him to get a lot out of today and be ready to fire next out.

My trainer has planned a steady stream of works for me the next two months. I should be sitting on a peak performance for my TBD debut the 3rd week in Feb.
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  #6  
Old 12-13-2008, 06:45 AM
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herkhorse herkhorse is offline
Flemington
 
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Location: Gonesville
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Good Luck at Tampa everyone! Bring home the
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  #7  
Old 12-13-2008, 07:11 AM
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3kings 3kings is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 3,495
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Mike, Leo, & Dan,

Have fun at the Downs today, and all meet. Hope to make it down to see you guys again this year. Thanks for taking the time to post your picks, it helps me decipher a very difficult track.
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  #8  
Old 12-13-2008, 08:14 AM
Rudeboyelvis Rudeboyelvis is offline
Belmont Park
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 7,440
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Quote:
Originally Posted by GPK
Dan...your big ticky is a buck eighty.
Fat fingered...Gracias
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