9/12: BEL C/O ($608k Friday!!)

[philcski]

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead

yes no shot....

Shoulda followed my instinct and singled that one.

[docicu3]

Originally Posted by philcski

Shoulda followed my instinct and singled that one.

It's tough to do that with so much static against the thought. You had it right Phil which is why I couldn't believe the "obvious toss" crescendo that built through the night. Obviously we are responsible for our own wagers but a loud forceful negative opinion with reason or not does influence people.

That was quite possibly the worst 8th race in NYRA history. Oof.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Coach Pants

That was quite possibly the worst 8th race in NYRA history. Oof.

Brutal. Wonder why the switched the nominal "feature" to the 7th?

Double carry...

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by docicu3

It's tough to do that with so much static against the thought. You had it right Phil which is why I couldn't believe the "obvious toss" crescendo that built through the night. Obviously we are responsible for our own wagers but a loud forceful negative opinion with reason or not does influence people.

Who the hell said he was an 'obvious toss' other than you? You put it in quotes as if someone said it.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

Who the hell said he was an 'obvious toss' other than you? You put it in quotes as if someone said it.

Exactly. The point at least I was making was that I thought he would be overbet and it was a tricky race. As it turned out, the 1 and 11 crushed the field, and I was wrong, but even though I would never have bet Dr. Decter I would never have left him out of a real Pick-6 play.

In fact, if I made a $2K play he would have been one of the two winners on my ticket! I think my only decent opinion was that it was probably going to carry again....though I have no idea how the last winner paid $18.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Exactly. The point at least I was making was that I thought he would be overbet and it was a tricky race. As it turned out, the 1 and 11 crushed the field, and I was wrong, but even though I would never have bet Dr. Decter I would never have left him out of a real Pick-6 play.

In fact, if I made a $2K play he would have been one of the two winners on my ticket! I think my only decent opinion was that it was probably going to carry again....though I have no idea how the last winner paid $18.

I almost fell out of my chair when I saw that.

Realizing it was probably going to double carry and a real play wasn't worth it was about my only good opinion as well (although I was fairly pleased with myself for basically only going 2 deep in the first leg, which looked tricky)

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

Exactly. The point at least I was making was that I thought he would be overbet and it was a tricky race. As it turned out, the 1 and 11 crushed the field, and I was wrong, but even though I would never have bet Dr. Decter I would never have left him out of a real Pick-6 play.

In fact, if I made a $2K play he would have been one of the two winners on my ticket! I think my only decent opinion was that it was probably going to carry again....though I have no idea how the last winner paid $18.

The key is the scratch of the 2B and the 12. With them in the race, there's actually some pace --in terms of chasers, and they get the same trip as the 11. Without them it's a 2 horse race and, assuming the 11 is not a need-the-lead type, he gets the perfect setup. I mean, how is the 1 going to wire the field when he couldn't get it done going 5.5F last out, and, more importantly, the turf is yielding? As it was, the 11 proved to not be much: perfect trip and all and he was in drive to win the race. And, the 1 didn't change leads until just before the wire.

For the record: the FATMAN doesn't play Pick6's. And, given the scratches, he didn't play the race.