Bridge jumper on Zenyatta

[dalakhani]

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER

I'm guessing even Zenyatta will fail to come top 3 once every 10-15 times. To make this bet a winning proposition, horses like her have to come top 3 atleast 21 times in a row.

If she keeps racing, Zenyatta will find a day when she is just not up to competing at the level where she is placed by her connections. But isnt finding that day part of handicapping as is finding days where only catastrope will stop her?

I like a price just like any other handicapper but free money is free money. Yes, the guy "only" got 5% on his money but he got 5% tax free (unless he is dumb honest) in a matter of less than two minutes and there was never a time during that race where she wasnt going to be in the money.

In that particular race yesterday, what was the percentage of chance she was going to be in the money vs. the return? In that sense, it was a fine bet.