Discreet Treasure

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

I will be surprised to see this horse win another race on the dirt provided the track is fast. If anything, he will prove a turf horse. First of all, you have to assume that a half to Discreet Cat would not have been entered on the turf for its debut if the connections really felt he was a dirt horse. Also, look at him, he's a grey which probably means he takes after his sire, El Prado, more than his dam which makes him more likely to be a turf horse.

I hope this horse makes his second start on the dirt at Saratoga, and the track is dry, so I can bet against him with confidence.

I completely dont get the bolded.
Need some help. Because he is the same color as his sire,
he must be more like his sire in other ways also?

Is that what this means?

If so, it is horribly wrong, even with the probably.