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Old 06-13-2008, 10:54 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 6,549
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personally I found the clip to be wandering and a scattershot approach.

he mainly knocks people using figure-based handicapping methods, quantitative handicapping, describing its use in a terribly simplistic way.

He describes his method, what he calls comparative handicapping, he talks about looking at horse A and noting that it beat horse B by 2 lengths, and then horse B beat horse C by 3 lengths, so Horse A would beat horse C by five, or something along these lines. Excuse me but what he described IS a quantitative analysis between horse A and C, however his figures are based on beaten lengths between horses that faced each other. I don't know where to begin with the number of ways you can go wrong with that approach. Also there are many sophisticated ways of quantifying WHO a horse faced that go beyond such a simplistic approach.

How he incorporates pedigree into the mix I'd love to know. Horse A beat horse B by 5 lengths, but because he is by Deputy Minister we adjust it to 5.5lengths?

i don't see how you'd use his method on a daily basis.
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