PREAKNESS: Field drops to 12 with Behind demuring

[CSC]

If we put a line through the derby, I did like his Arkansas Derby. The problem is the Z horse that finished 2nd in the race ran up the track in the derby. Which is not a good recommendation in my eyes.

[SniperSB23]

Originally Posted by CSC

If we put a line through the derby, I did like his Arkansas Derby. The problem is the Z horse that finished 2nd in the race ran up the track in the derby. Which is not a good recommendation in my eyes.

And the Arkanasas Derby horses that ran in the Lone Star Derby stunk it up despite figures that suggested they'd be competitive. They botched the figures in the Arkansas Derby by not splitting the variant. Treat it as if a 94 Beyer won the race and then decide if he still looks good to you.

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

And the Arkanasas Derby horses that ran in the Lone Star Derby stunk it up despite figures that suggested they'd be competitive. They botched the figures in the Arkansas Derby by not splitting the variant. Treat it as if a 94 Beyer won the race and then decide if he still looks good to you.

I've been saying this for a minute. Gayego's a toss for me, and I disagree with the notion that he'll somehow provide value in exotics. The second choice in a race with an odds-on favorite rarely provides value anywhere but maybe on top in a multi-race wager.

[jjf1031]

Going to take a shot with Racecar Rhapsody simply based on the idea of him getting off the Poly. Other than that will be limited wagering

[slotdirt]

Has there ever been a race with 13 entrants as seemingly unbettable as this one?

[alysheba4]

Originally Posted by slotdirt

Has there ever been a race with 13 entrants as seemingly unbettable as this one?

.....yes.

[slotdirt]

For those of us unable to watch television at the moment, any chance someone could update us on the draw? I'm sure Big Brown is 13.

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by jjf1031

Going to take a shot with Racecar Rhapsody simply based on the idea of him getting off the Poly. Other than that will be limited wagering

I like your style.

[philcski]

Nobody's talking about Macho Again. Yeah, he hasn't done much around two turns, and the one true route race was abysmal (Lanes End- but note that his two worst career efforts were on the Poly) but he's bred well to go long. Since his maiden win he's 5-3-1-0 with just the mediocre effort in the Lecomte. Do I think he's going to beat Big Brown? No. But could he fill the exacta or trifecta at 30-1? Definitely.

[ateamstupid]

Originally Posted by philcski

Nobody's talking about Macho Again. Yeah, he hasn't done much around two turns, and the one true route race was abysmal (Lanes End- but note that his two worst career efforts were on the Poly) but he's bred well to go long. Since his maiden win he's 5-3-1-0 with just the mediocre effort in the Lecomte. Do I think he's going to beat Big Brown? No. But could he fill the exacta or trifecta at 30-1? Definitely.

He smacks of a one-turn closer to me. Even if he can go two turns, I don't think the race sets up for him. He's a better proposition than Behindatthebar in my opinion, but I don't give either much shot.

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by philcski

Nobody's talking about Macho Again. Yeah, he hasn't done much around two turns, and the one true route race was abysmal (Lanes End- but note that his two worst career efforts were on the Poly) but he's bred well to go long. Since his maiden win he's 5-3-1-0 with just the mediocre effort in the Lecomte. Do I think he's going to beat Big Brown? No. But could he fill the exacta or trifecta at 30-1? Definitely.

I like Macho Again too for the exact reasons you gave. I see him and Kentucky Bear as the two strongest contenders (other than the 7 obviously).
I just can't figure out exactly how I want to play it.