DERBY WORKS (4/27): Col. John (:57.4), Fillies (:58+) in Hot Drills

[Scav]

Friggin HARTY going 57.4......that just cost me a couple points from the people that think he COULDN'T handle the track.....

[lostcode]

I'm with you Scav, but as a former assistant to Baffers, you knew he was going to blow this horse out and it worked for Hard Spun last year, at least until the last 1/16th. But John is much more suited to 10 furlongs. I'm still hoping for a competitive race with 3 or 4 horses actually having a chance to win.

[blackthroatedwind]

Sounds to me like the track was extremely fast this morning.

[johnny pinwheel]

Originally Posted by Scav

Friggin HARTY going 57.4......that just cost me a couple points from the people that think he COULDN'T handle the track.....

right on, i think this horse must be used though. i won't bet him to win because of the price. he is bred to be a beast on the dirt. when big brown sputters like i think he will this should be one of the horses that has dead aim. real dirt might make this horse even better !

[Thunder Gulch]

Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel

right on, i think this horse must be used though. i won't bet him to win because of the price. he is bred to be a beast on the dirt. when big brown sputters like i think he will this should be one of the horses that has dead aim. real dirt might make this horse even better !

Agree with you guys. First reaction I was happy because he ran so well on the dirt, then I realized that workout will be splashed all over the place and he just got bet down a few points.

[philcski]

Big Truck with a nice spin this morning, 5F in 59.40.

His chances went from 0.1% to 0.2%.

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by philcski

Big Truck with a nice spin this morning, 5F in 59.40.

His chances went from 0.1% to 0.2%.

How exactly did this increase the chances of the current favorite for the Mike Lee?

[philcski]

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind

How exactly did this increase the chances of the current favorite for the Mike Lee?

You actually think he's the favorite for the Mike Lee? I figured I'd get 5-1 on him in that race

[philcski]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

All kidding aside, the NY bred 3 year olds look especially strong this year. Big Truck, Z Fortune, Giant Moon and Icabad Crane just to name a few. The Empire Classic could be some race this year.

Agreed- all kidding aside, I actually like Big Truck. Just not for the Derby...

Z Fortune does, however, rate a big shot to hit the board IMO. I don't know if he's actually good enough to win but a mile and a quarter will fit him well, his running style fits well to get a good trip, and his speed figures are certainly competitive.

[sumitas]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

All kidding aside, the NY bred 3 year olds look especially strong this year. Big Truck, Z Fortune, Giant Moon and Icabad Crane just to name a few. The Empire Classic could be some race this year.

Cape of Storms will be there too.