4/4: Keeneland Selections (7th-10th)

[jcs11204]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Thursday Aqueduct P6 and P4 tries were upended with 2nds in the 6th and 8th, but the rest of the day was outstanding capped by the day-making trifecta in the nightcap which was offered out 'straight'. How Del Carroll and Pont St. Stables' Key Victory was allowed to go off at 46-1 is a mystery, as he appeared to me the next most logical win candidate past the overdue and obvious winner. His $23.40 place price tripped the $603.00 ($2) triple when he passed After Colin (16-1, $7.20) in deep stretch.

Earlier in the 7th, Carlos Martin's Aunt Marge ($12.60), who I saw as a P6 single but the public embraced only modestly, started another nice triple crushing the Karakorum entry (3-2 fave) behind her with Schwartz' Sounds Tacky (11-1) third. The tri came back $144.00 ($2), and this was a spot where not offering superfectas everywhere they could be offered, hurts... Inclusion Ommadon's Storm was 4th, (for wagering purposes), at 43-1, and the payoff would have been enormous. The NYS Racing and Wagering Board refuses to allow NYRA to offer supers on all races that 'qualify' for them, and it just continues to boggle the mind as to why.

Hope you did well Thursday!

Keeneland starts its' three week Spring Meet today, and though the weather is expected to be nasty, it's always great to have KEE back in the PP's... Expect al grass races to be switched to the 'all-weather'...


KEENELAND


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, Super)

OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #4 Crystal Minuet 7-2
Next Best: #3 Communique 9-5
Best Value: #6 Brantley 6-1
Exotics Add: #1 SCR (Substitute #12 Madame Brillon 10-1; #7 Ardnavagh 8-1)


8th: OC/N$Y, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, Super)

BEST VALUE: #7 DARLING JULIE 15-1
Most Likely: #8 Kindling 7-2
Next Best: #5 Girls Pearls 6-1
Exotics Add: #3 You Go West Girl 2-1


9th: 20th Transylvania (Gr. III), 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD, Super)

OFF THE TURF...

Protecting #4 Prussian in P4, P3's..

Most Likely: #3 Barrier Reef 7-2
Next Best: #1 Riley Tucker 4-1
Best Value: #6 Budge Man 15-1
Exotics Add: #8 Free Fighter 4-1


10th: ALW/N2L, 3yo, 7f ($1 Super Hi-5, .10 Super)

Most Likely: #11 Arizona 5-1
Best Value: #8 Iron Works Pike 8-1
Next Best: #7 The Darp 9-2
Hi 5 Adds: #9 Talk of a Cat 7-2

<$50 Hi 5 Play: 11/7-8/4-7-8-9-12/4-7-8-9-12/4-7-8-9-12 (1x2x4x3x2 = $48)


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 3-4-[6-7]
8: 3-5-7-8
9: 1-3-4
10: 11 (7-8)

4x4x3x1 = $48 (Backup: 2x4x3x2 = $48; Full: 4x4x3x3 = $144)


Good luck!
Steve

i played the late pick 3 and 4... i disagree strongly with your plays.... here goes my 2 bets....


Race # 7 $1 pick 4 wheel

# 5 Impressionism is a single in my opinion. i feel strong that she improves tons this year,

in the 8th i went 4 deep 2,3,5,8

in the 9th i used the 2 mott horses, i think they can control this race and run 1-2 either way

in the 10th i love The Darp, but i also used Talk of a Cat,


2 plays $16 dollers each, played the same pick 3 just incase my 5 does not with the 7th

good luck

[Rootdog1]

Originally Posted by jcs11204

i played the late pick 3 and 4... i disagree strongly with your plays.... here goes my 2 bets....


Race # 7 $1 pick 4 wheel

# 5 Impressionism is a single in my opinion. i feel strong that she improves tons this year,

in the 8th i went 4 deep 2,3,5,8

in the 9th i used the 2 mott horses, i think they can control this race and run 1-2 either way

in the 10th i love The Darp, but i also used Talk of a Cat,


2 plays $16 dollers each, played the same pick 3 just incase my 5 does not with the 7th

good luck

Uhm....ya

[hockey2315]

PG - What happened to your derby horse? 26 and 51 too fast for him?