How good is Big Brown?

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

Yeah it was bad feet.

He had quarter cracks in his feet...

Scat Daddy would blow the socks off most of these horses in this year's crop.

[Cajungator26]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

Seriously?

[skippy3481]

I agree Pgardn.. I bet against the horse and after he took the first half in 45 and change, I thought he would fold like a cheap tent..... While i haven't decided if I would play him in the derby, I do think it was one of the best preps this year and I can't wait to see how he trains up to the derby.

[hockey2315]

I'm surprised that nobody has mentioned Big Brown's behavior after the race. He was a little aggressive.

[Pedigree Ann]

I have two words for you guys - Bellamy Road.

I have been around long enough that I try to resist getting too overcome with enthusiasm about a horse based on one superior race. (Remember Daaher?) Good race on a track that didn't seem kind to closers. Too bad he will be given time off to lose condition rather than another race to bring him on before the Derby.

[cmorioles]

Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann

I have two words for you guys - Bellamy Road.

I have been around long enough that I try to resist getting too overcome with enthusiasm about a horse based on one superior race. (Remember Daaher?) Good race on a track that didn't seem kind to closers. Too bad he will be given time off to lose condition rather than another race to bring him on before the Derby.

First, I would say he has at least two, and maybe three superior races.

Second, the track didn't appear speed favoring. The 1st race was won last to first. Chelokee and Sugar Swirl rated a few lengths back and won. Same thing in races 8, 9, and 12.

[philcski]

Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann

I have two words for you guys - Bellamy Road.

I have been around long enough that I try to resist getting too overcome with enthusiasm about a horse based on one superior race. (Remember Daaher?) Good race on a track that didn't seem kind to closers. Too bad he will be given time off to lose condition rather than another race to bring him on before the Derby.

Originally Posted by cmorioles

First, I would say he has at least two, and maybe three superior races.

Second, the track didn't appear speed favoring. The 1st race was won last to first. Chelokee and Sugar Swirl rated a few lengths back and won. Same thing in races 8, 9, and 12.

Agree- this is NOT Bellamy Road (who, in fairness, didn't run all that bad in that Derby. Outside of Closing Argument, who ran a ridiculously good race, none of the other pacesetters finished anywhere close.) He has THREE superior races under his belt. Curlin would be a much fairer comparison.

Third, it would be silly to run this horse again before the Derby. What exactly do they have to gain, besides potentially knocking him out with his fragile feet? The experience factor is lessened this year as the competition isn't strong. Point head, click heels, run fast. One more start in a G3 against overmatched types wouldn't offer the Derby 'experience'.

[slotdirt]

The thing that's giving me more pause about this performance than anything else is the remarkably similar performance put in by Electrify two races later. An average stakes horse did the same thing - but faster - two races later. Doesn't that make anybody else question Big Brown at least a little bit, or is it plausible that Electrify is also the second coming?

This is not withstanding the myriad of other issues with Big Brown that make me question his ability to perform in L-ville on May 3rd.