How good is Big Brown?

[pick4]

Originally Posted by philcski

I think it's fair to give Big Brown some improvement, so call it 107, and that gives Smooth Air a very plausible high 90's (96-98). Don't know what to think of that last race of the day. Seems unbelievably fast. Very difficult to make figures, like old school GP.



FP he's not peddling shiat, he's dead on accurate here.



I love it when you call horses crows, I laugh every time You're right though, someone had to run 3rd, and he probably ran about the same as he did in Peru here, a mid 80's Beyer.

Are you guys talking in terms of BSF's?

I don't know what the par racing times are at GP. I do have the Beyer chart in front of me from his book Beyer on Speed. Big Brown's 1:48 for a 1 1/8 is a 122.

Beyer Speed Ratings for 1 1/8
Time BSF
1:48 122
-1 120
-2 119
-3 117
-4 115
1:49 113
-1 111
-2 108
-3 106
-4 105
1:50 104
-1 102
-2 100
-3 99
-4 97
1:51 96
-1 93
-2 90
-3 88
-4 87

These are the base numbers. Once they calculate the variant there might be some projection involved in giving these races a BSF.

[cmorioles]

The chart I am using counts 100ths, and BB ran almost 1/5 (.16) slower than 1:48 flat. That is the reason for the small difference.