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  #1  
Old 03-17-2008, 04:27 PM
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cmorioles cmorioles is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
do you have some examples of horses who couldn't transfer their good synthetic form to dirt, meaning they couldn't handle the dirt footing?

I haven't noticed really many examples of this. maybe I'm missing something.
I am assuming if a horse runs big on poly or other fake stuff, and doesn't run well on dirt, he probably didn't handle the footing as well. That is all I was trying to say. Sure, maybe a lot of them handle it by running slower.
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Old 03-17-2008, 04:53 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cmorioles
I am assuming if a horse runs big on poly or other fake stuff, and doesn't run well on dirt, he probably didn't handle the footing as well. That is all I was trying to say. Sure, maybe a lot of them handle it by running slower.
Wat about Sierra? And the LA Derby 3rd?
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  #3  
Old 03-17-2008, 05:03 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SentToStud
Wat about Sierra? And the LA Derby 3rd?
What about them? I wouldn't say either one of them ran very well on synthetic.
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  #4  
Old 03-17-2008, 08:06 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cmorioles
I am assuming if a horse runs big on poly or other fake stuff, and doesn't run well on dirt, he probably didn't handle the footing as well. That is all I was trying to say. Sure, maybe a lot of them handle it by running slower.
any prominent examples? horses that run slower on dirt, thats my question.
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  #5  
Old 03-17-2008, 09:19 PM
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kentuckyrosesinmay kentuckyrosesinmay is offline
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I thought that Yankee Bravo won the California Derby on Tapeta.
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  #6  
Old 03-17-2008, 09:29 PM
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The Bid The Bid is offline
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Its hard to read some of these posts anymore
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  #7  
Old 03-18-2008, 06:17 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Bid
Its hard to read some of these posts anymore

Nobody is forcing you to.
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  #8  
Old 03-18-2008, 02:19 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
any prominent examples? horses that run slower on dirt, thats my question.
How about one race of PPs, the Big Cap. All the following have run much better on synthetic than dirt:

Big Booster
Monterey Jazz
Zappa
Celtic Dreaming
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  #9  
Old 03-18-2008, 06:41 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cmorioles
How about one race of PPs, the Big Cap. All the following have run much better on synthetic than dirt:

Big Booster
Monterey Jazz
Zappa
Celtic Dreaming
Monterey Jazz just happen to get a track that we cant call a normal Synthetic track when he went wire to wire. I think he would of ran the same race on the old dirt track at Santa Anita. The horse just got good at the right time.
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  #10  
Old 03-18-2008, 06:44 AM
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The top 3 finishers in the Big Cap were all turf horses.
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  #11  
Old 03-18-2008, 03:41 PM
ForestofWonders ForestofWonders is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
The top 3 finishers in the Big Cap were all turf horses.
The winner of the Donn Handicap this year ran on turf as well.
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  #12  
Old 03-18-2008, 08:59 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cmorioles
How about one race of PPs, the Big Cap. All the following have run much better on synthetic than dirt:

Big Booster
Monterey Jazz
Zappa
Celtic Dreaming
these horses are better on synthetic? based on what criteria?
lets take a look at these horses records.


Big Booster
dirt record 8 3-0-0
aw record 5 1-0-2
appears to favor dirt

Monterrey Jazz
dirt record 3 1-0-1
aw record 3 1-0-1
has won in the past year going short and long on dirt, aw, and turf.

Zappa
dirt record 11 4-1-4
aw record 5 3-0-1
does well on aw, but also seems to run on any surface. won a 3 turn stakes race last year on the FPX dirt.

Celtic Dreamin
dirt record 2 2-0-0
aw record 7 3-4-0
I love this horse. he never runs a bad race. however you can't say he prefers aw because he is undefeated on dirt winning convincingly both times.

what I am looking for, are examples of horses that run well on synthetic (aw), but show a marked decline in form whenever they try dirt. these examples do not fit that description.
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  #13  
Old 03-18-2008, 09:40 AM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Big Booster
dirt record 8 3-0-0
aw record 5 1-0-2
appears to favor dirt
I really hope you are kidding.

In his final start on dirt, which was March 24th of 2007, Big Booster was 4th beaten 5 lengths at odds of even money in a 50K claiming race.

In his first start on synthetic, which was May 24th of 2007, Big Booster (under 123 pounds) wins an alw race on synthetic by 3/4 of a length at 25/1 odds. The 2nd place finisher, it was Heatseeker (under 113 pounds)

In his 2nd start on synthetic, Big Booster is beaten less than one length in the Hollywood Gold Cup at 25/1 odds.

Either KYRIM stole your login - or you are out of your mind for saying that Big Booster appears to favor dirt over synthetic.

Since beating Heatseeker at 25/1 odds in an alw race in his synthetic debut - Big Booster has raced exclusively and competitively in Grade 1 or Grade 2 stakes.

When Big Booster was racing on dirt, he was either competitive in claiming races at Gulfstream - or getting blown out in allowance races on the AQU inner dirt.
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  #14  
Old 03-18-2008, 09:48 AM
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kentuckyrosesinmay kentuckyrosesinmay is offline
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Yeah, we all know that Mike Mitchell had nothing to do with it
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  #15  
Old 03-18-2008, 09:55 AM
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kentuckyrosesinmay kentuckyrosesinmay is offline
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Here is the reality of switching surfaces for the first time...

Some horses can run better on the synthetic, some can run better on the dirt, some can run better on the turf, and some can run just as good on a combination of the surfaces or all of the surfaces. It is your job as a handicapper to figure out which horses can make the switch when they try out a new surface for the first time because it happens a lot more now than it used to, and there is money to be made...

Last edited by kentuckyrosesinmay : 03-18-2008 at 10:13 AM.
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  #16  
Old 03-18-2008, 09:57 AM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
Yeah, we all know that Mike Mitchell had nothing to do with it
you say this, but he really doesn't have any major drug violations. Now, I don't think he is a drugger, but I do think he is a shaker, but a majority are out there, especially given the rule that they are allowed to have a horse over the natural level of tCO2, that they can produce.
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  #17  
Old 03-18-2008, 10:01 AM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
Yeah, we all know that Mike Mitchell had nothing to do with it
Mitchell also had him when he ran 8th in his first start in California before being placed on a synthetic. Peter Walder (who is currently 18-for-51 and winning at a 35% clip at GP) trained him when he was 4th on the dirt in the 50K claimer.

Mitchell obviously played a role in this horse improving - but that has nothing to do with the surface question.

Peter Walder is one of the highest percentage guys around - he's not some bum who gets in horses way.
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  #18  
Old 03-18-2008, 10:15 AM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
I really hope you are kidding.

In his final start on dirt, which was March 24th of 2007, Big Booster was 4th beaten 5 lengths at odds of even money in a 50K claiming race.

In his first start on synthetic, which was May 24th of 2007, Big Booster (under 123 pounds) wins an alw race on synthetic by 3/4 of a length at 25/1 odds. The 2nd place finisher, it was Heatseeker (under 113 pounds)

In his 2nd start on synthetic, Big Booster is beaten less than one length in the Hollywood Gold Cup at 25/1 odds.

Either KYRIM stole your login - or you are out of your mind for saying that Big Booster appears to favor dirt over synthetic.

Since beating Heatseeker at 25/1 odds in an alw race in his synthetic debut - Big Booster has raced exclusively and competitively in Grade 1 or Grade 2 stakes.

When Big Booster was racing on dirt, he was either competitive in claiming races at Gulfstream - or getting blown out in allowance races on the AQU inner dirt.
I believe you incorrectly assume that Big Booster under Mitchells care would not run well in GR1's or GR2's on dirt against the rather dreadful older horses out there. the horse has moved up a bit under Mitchell, big deal. which horse hasn't? pointing out that the horse ran fifth in his last dirt start overlooks the fact that the horse previously won on dirt with speed figures that are inline with what he is now running on aw. the class rise that you are hangin your hat on is a thin one imo.

and really, how good is Big Booster running on aw? he won an allowance race solely because of a hot pace set by Sinister Minister, then in four stakes he managed to float up for third in two of them, and didn't threaten in the other two.

i don't understand why you and others immediately resort to insults when you confront someone with a differing opinion.
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  #19  
Old 03-18-2008, 10:35 AM
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The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
the horse previously won on dirt with speed figures that are inline with what he is now running on aw. the class rise that you are hangin your hat on is a thin one imo.
His career lifetime top Beyer on dirt is a 98!!! And it came in a 1.5 length win in a 35K claiming race. His first start on synthetic, he beats TWO Grade 1 winners at 25/1 odds. His 2nd start on synthetic, he is beaten less than a length in the Hollywood Gold Cup at 25/1 odds.

Only someone trolling thinks that is a "thin class rise."


Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78

and really, how good is Big Booster running on aw? he won an allowance race solely because of a hot pace set by Sinister Minister, then in four stakes he managed to float up for third in two of them, and didn't threaten in the other two.
That's pretty funny. 30/1 shot Tobe Suave (who ran for a tag) pressed Sinister Minister and stayed on to finish 4th of 9. And, even though the pace wasn't really hot - if it was, how exactly would that hinder Heatseeker? After all, Heatseeker just won a $1,000,000 Grade 1 race that was setup by a very fast pace.

Oh yeah, you're right, the supposedly fast pace benefitted only Big Booster and not Heatseeker.

Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
i don't understand why you and others immediately resort to insults when you confront someone with a differing opinion.
You're right - I should have known better than to ask if KYRIM stole your login - because the truth is, You do this trolling all the time!

Make no mistake, it is trolling, but you save it for racing debates and not off-topic nonsense stuff like every other poster would. It's very odd.
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  #20  
Old 03-18-2008, 12:43 PM
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SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
i don't understand why you and others immediately resort to insults when you confront someone with a differing opinion.
Friends with the site owner...What do you expect? He can pretty much say anything to people......You're exactly right,though.....Says Yankee Bravo(who has never run a bad race) stinks,and then he wants people to overlook bad races by horses he likes(or bad races from horses trained by people he likes.) Unbelievable arrogance,actually,but that's the way it is.
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