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  #1  
Old 03-07-2008, 05:47 PM
mnmark mnmark is offline
Pimlico
 
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How will the track play with one to two inches or more of rain forecast? I appreciate any feedback as I am handicapping for a contest there tomorrow on the whole card.
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  #2  
Old 03-07-2008, 05:51 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mnmark
How will the track play with one to two inches or more of rain forecast? I appreciate any feedback as I am handicapping for a contest there tomorrow on the whole card.
Probably ALOT fairer than usual.
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  #3  
Old 03-08-2008, 12:40 AM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
Probably ALOT fairer than usual.
fairer ? do you mean faster ?
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  #4  
Old 03-08-2008, 12:58 AM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jcs11204
fairer ? do you mean faster ?
i think he meant fairer
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  #5  
Old 03-08-2008, 06:39 AM
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pgiaco pgiaco is offline
Woodbine
 
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With the weather as it is Passero will have rolled and sealed the track to roughly the consistency of the Long Island Expressway. If the the track is anything but a quagmire it is going to be inside speed all day.
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  #6  
Old 03-08-2008, 07:40 AM
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miraja2 miraja2 is offline
Arlington Park
 
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Wet weather figures to mean that there will be even more money bet on Saratoga Russell because he won on the slop in his last start at Gulfstream, and because the AQ Inner is what it is.
Personally I absolutely hate this horse in this spot, despite those factors in his favor.
Stretching a colt by Trippi out from 6f straight to a 2-turn, 8.5f race while making a bit of a class jump doesn't strike me as a recipe for victory. When you add in Violette's Sprint-to-Route numbers (56 .07 $0.40), I think this colt should probably be avoided.

The problem I see in this race is that I don't think Saratoga Russell will have anything left in the stretch, but I can't figure out who exactly will be the ones to run by him. None of them look particularly promising so, by default, I would probably land on Giant Moon if I had to pick someone.
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  #7  
Old 03-08-2008, 08:20 AM
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fpsoxfan fpsoxfan is offline
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The radar for the Aqueduct region looks OK right now. It may be some hit and miss rain today.
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  #8  
Old 03-08-2008, 08:46 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by miraja2
Wet weather figures to mean that there will be even more money bet on Saratoga Russell because he won on the slop in his last start at Gulfstream, and because the AQ Inner is what it is.
Personally I absolutely hate this horse in this spot, despite those factors in his favor.
Stretching a colt by Trippi out from 6f straight to a 2-turn, 8.5f race while making a bit of a class jump doesn't strike me as a recipe for victory. When you add in Violette's Sprint-to-Route numbers (56 .07 $0.40), I think this colt should probably be avoided.

The problem I see in this race is that I don't think Saratoga Russell will have anything left in the stretch, but I can't figure out who exactly will be the ones to run by him. None of them look particularly promising so, by default, I would probably land on Giant Moon if I had to pick someone.

Be very careful about equating slop at Gulfstream to slop anywhere else. And also, sloppy tracks on the inner are often not speed favoring and if it doesn't rain anymore, it hasn't really since before midnight, the track could be changing.
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