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Old 09-20-2007, 07:23 PM
ArlJim78 ArlJim78 is offline
Newmarket
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 6,549
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I compiled these numbers from bris data, showing how the various running styles at Hawthorne and Arlington compare, and also the effect of poly at Arlington. Basically you can see that not all dirt tracks are created equal as Hawthorne is what I would call speed biased. Poly seems more fair because it breaks out more equally between early speed and closers.


Percent of races won – six furlongs

Hawthorne spring meet 2007
E type 47%, E/P type 28%, P type 12%, S type 13%

Arlington 2006 meet (dirt)
E type 35%, E/P type 32%, P type 18%, S type 15%

Arlington 2007 meet (poly)
E type 31%, E/P type 24%, P type 16%, S type 29%


Percent of races won – 1 1/16 miles

Hawthorne spring meet 2007
E type 42%, E/P type 22%, P type 12%, S type 19%

Arlington 2007 meet (poly)
E type 32%, E/P type 17%, P type 24%, S type 27%


Percent of races won – one mile

Arlington 2006 meet (dirt)
E type 30%, E/P type 28%, P type 21%, S type 22%

Arlington 2007 meet (poly)
E type 32%, E/P type 20%, P type 22%, S type 26%
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Old 09-20-2007, 07:26 PM
Scav Scav is offline
Saratoga
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Northwest of The Chi
Posts: 16,012
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ArlJim78
Percent of races won – six furlongs

Hawthorne spring meet 2007
E type 47%, E/P type 28%, P type 12%, S type 13%
75% in the top flight, what a sickening number. And I am willing to bet that the other 25% is from races where Laviolette went 43.1 or Thornton got front happy.
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