DEL MAR (Wed.): $1,000,000 Carryover

[Bigsmc]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

yep....I am looking at using those that can stalk off the folding speed....Ex Caelis 8-1 should be more relaxed second off...Vikkis Honor 10-1 had a prep and won this race last year, and Sindy is a great value at 10-1

I can't find a darn single in here.....I actually considered either singling Ex Caelis here or Drill Down in the feature.... where are you going?

Right now I have Selvatica (can't ignore the TG nos.), Sindy and Ex Caelis (love horses that leave DWL), but I would like to include others...

My single is Placid Lake in the 8th.

Drill Down should be very tough, but.... too many unknowns as far as rapid improvement with lightly raced 2yr olds. I can't single because I can't trust the others in the race to NOT jump up and run a huge one.

Got some decisions to make. I need to cut a couple horses from the lineup.

[ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

Right now I have Selvatica (can't ignore the TG nos.), Sindy and Ex Caelis (love horses that leave DWL), but I would like to include others...

My single is Placid Lake in the 8th.

Drill Down should be very tough, but.... too many unknowns as far as rapid improvement with lightly raced 2yr olds. I can't single because I can't trust the others in the race to NOT jump up and run a huge one.

Got some decisions to make. I need to cut a couple horses from the lineup.

i also have placid lake as a single. even though talamo will get her in trouble she should still be good enough to win.

but thats it as far as finding narrow spots. tried several times to get a reasonbly priced ticket arrangement but doesn't look like that will happen.

looks like instead i'm going to roll thru this sequence with pk3's and pk4. i'd rather do that then cross my fingers and take a half hearted stab in the dark on a tough sixer.

[docicu3]

Race 5

11, Switzerland (a couple of angles are ripe here , Del Mar this year winners beget winners and if you haven't trained or run here you can't win here)
2 Gallardo must play
8 Smoocher (maybe) 3 Yes he's a PIstol (maybe getting old or so seems)

so for sure 11,2 for me here

Race 6 The first bullet to dodge without hitting ALL button

5 Kalookan Event (yes a first timer works, pedigree very likely winner)
8 Count Brahms (hopefully doesn't bounce)
7 TizMet (very possible if is inshape as works say)

(1) entries if any above scratch

gotta use 5,8,7

Race 7

10 Ex Caelis (love him and new Del Mar angle....Though shault play outside horses in sprints due to inherent track bias for outside stretch positions) I'd single him if I had to but also will play

2 Sindy with an S (Michael Baze, Michael Mitchell..great pattern has won 3 of 5, must use)
14 "All's well that ends well " as long as you use this returner with great works if eligible
1 Selvatica (too many wins to leave out completely but I am not overwhelmed

(3) Vicki's Honor if scratches occur

so for sure 10/2,14,1 for me

Race 8

4 Hunsley Bunsley (must use developing 3 year old with a win and second at Delmar this meet, sneaky good)
8 Placid Lake (yeah okay the numbers warrant but may not win)
12 Justice is Brief (sprints are won outside on this track my son...stay outside)

11 Incredible is essentially the same horse as 12 as both came out of MC level this meet etc etc
6 Golden Venture another nice horse with #'s but Talamo jumped off here so tough to back

so for me 4,8,12 maybe 11 (don't like 6)

Race 9

11 Georgie Boy wins the Futurity (enjoy it buddy the pair up 7's are nice and signals a move forward sorry Sarge see you in New Jersey next month
4 Drill Down also a toughy but may step back off last big effort
7 Leonides a PRO'S PICK

6 STS I guess you have to use him but I like him 4th best here with this group but of course he could win

so 11,4,7 (6 grudgingly)

Race 10

10 Papaoine is my selection as I love the pattern
4 Soupy must play as has highest speed numbers
8 Black Jack Attack I am going to give in to this even though he is a hanger at 0-27 but he is still very competitive if not the best of the group

7 Patch of Blue second time turf who could pop and is hard to turn away from as he has top closer number here of this group

10,4,8,7 or all 4 this race so at present without scratches

so 2x3x4x3x4x4 is far too much money.

[infield_line]

put some effort in, but minimum ticket still too rich for my blood...

R5 1,5,11
R6 8,5
R7 1,2,10
R8 8,7
R9 6,7,11
R10 6,9,10

Good luck to any who are actually attacking this pool

I/L

[ArlJim78]

made a couple of decisions and narrowed things down to something playable.

race 5, using 1 4 6 11
don't like sprinters stretching out here, also don't like the 2 off of dull return race.

race 6, using 5 and 8
the 8 should be tough but figure if the five can work in 1:11 and change he can win most six furlong races at DM.

race 7, single 10 and hoping for the best.
10 looks like a new horse with mandella as last race towers over the field.
scared of the 1 but angles working against are post and no poly races and company on the front end means she will likely get weak late again. the 10 from the outside can stalk and pounce.
lonshot super crasher - 9

race 8, single 8

race 9, going wide 1 4 6 7 8 11
a lot can change start to start for 2 yo's, can't go with favorites only

race 10, 7 8 10
in the pick4 i'm also throwing in the 3.

so before scratches we have 4x2x1x1x6x3x$2 = $288

good luck to everyone

[Rootdog1]

this thing is impossible.....i give up

[lemoncrush]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

this thing is impossible.....i give up

I agree. Think I'm going to take a $144 ticket with a few guys and just enjoy the ride. Unless DelMar become formful, or starts to make sense, it's almost crazy to go too deep to hit this.

One horse I'm including for sure is Skimmetry in the 6th.
Looks like a weak field, and a Frankel/Flores 1st timer will get my attention.
Only interesting thing is...does it seem odd that Frankel would have such a non-descript statebred in his barn? Maybe that's a good sign?

[Scav]

Originally Posted by Rootdog1

this thing is impossible.....i give up

Exactly. I just spent an hour seeing if I can find anything. It might be 3 out of 6 and 4 out of 6 unless people really bring out the guns (like 10k tickets) thinking that they can just buy the whole f'n thing

[Ronnie]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

made a couple of decisions and narrowed things down to something playable.

race 5, using 1 4 6 11
don't like sprinters stretching out here, also don't like the 2 off of dull return race.

race 6, using 5 and 8
the 8 should be tough but figure if the five can work in 1:11 and change he can win most six furlong races at DM.

race 7, single 10 and hoping for the best.
10 looks like a new horse with mandella as last race towers over the field.
scared of the 1 but angles working against are post and no poly races and company on the front end means she will likely get weak late again. the 10 from the outside can stalk and pounce.
lonshot super crasher - 9

race 8, single 8

race 9, going wide 1 4 6 7 8 11
a lot can change start to start for 2 yo's, can't go with favorites only

race 10, 7 8 10
in the pick4 i'm also throwing in the 3.

so before scratches we have 4x2x1x1x6x3x$2 = $288

good luck to everyone

5 of 6, very nice try, thanks for sharing -- 385.20

[ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by Ronnie

5 of 6, very nice try, thanks for sharing -- 385.20

thanks Ronnie, had a thrill there for awhile breaking out of the gate with that big price. since i covered a lot with pk3's and pk4's i made a little money on the day and had a good look at the sixer. i guess thats all i could ask for.

scav where were you? I was up at trackside upstairs. there was a guy up there live to the 3 for the six and he got buried on a slow pace and ended up second.

i am sad to see delmar go as i went on a binge there this last week.

[pmacdaddy]

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698

Yeah, well done Jim. Excellent handicapping.

Real nice job.

[ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by ArlJim78

race 7, single 10 and hoping for the best.
10 looks like a new horse with mandella as last race towers over the field.
scared of the 1 but angles working against are post and no poly races and company on the front end means she will likely get weak late again. the 10 from the outside can stalk and pounce.
lonshot super crasher - 9

i should have taken my own advice.
i got so wrapped up in the pick four and six that i forgot to play the super on this race. the nine came third and the super paid $3801 for $1.

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

Originally Posted by infield_line

put some effort in, but minimum ticket still too rich for my blood...

R5 1,5,11
R6 8,5
R7 1,2,10
R8 8,7
R9 6,7,11
R10 6,9,10

Good luck to any who are actually attacking this pool

I/L

did you play it...........

[infield_line]

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead

did you play it...........

When I can hit 3's and 4's with consistency I'll think about popping $400 on the 6

plus, the minute I put any money into a bet the quantum universe takes note and spins the tumblers....

I/L

[hoovesupsideyourhead]

Originally Posted by infield_line

When I can hit 3's and 4's with consistency I'll think about popping $400 on the 6

plus, the minute I put any money into a bet the quantum universe takes note and spins the tumblers....

I/L

nice av... scav must have puta bet on my 2...KIDDING!!

[Spiggle24]

Making a stand @ 12-1.If I make it to the last still alive I'm singling the 5.Darley,Harty,Bug, -5lbs & blinkers off?Interesting connection cocktail & multiple changes angle.Yes the 7th will stretch the budget & the feature is also tussle.

3-11/8/1-3-5-8-9-10/7-8/4-6-11/5

$72
Good Luck