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#1
06-04-2007, 03:49 PM
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I'm looking forward to seeing Hard Spun in the winner's circle.
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#2
06-04-2007, 03:50 PM
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Keep dreaming then...
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"Until one has loved an animal, part of their soul remains unawaken. 
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#3
06-04-2007, 03:53 PM
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#4
06-04-2007, 03:55 PM
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Didn't say he (Drifty) was going to win did I? Just that I hoped and was rooting for Drifty. Head said Boboman, although look where that got me. Honestly though, I don't think Hard Spun is going to win this one. Curlin either for that matter. Just my original thoughts. Once the PPs are up I will do my homework some more. Not writing anything in pen yet. 
__________________
"Until one has loved an animal, part of their soul remains unawaken.
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#5
06-04-2007, 05:29 PM
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#6
06-04-2007, 05:45 PM
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What does it matter if somebody is just a fan of the sport and doesn't care all that much about reading a racing form or making a huge wager? Last time I went to the track there were about 10,000 empty seats. There's plenty of room for fans of the sport.
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#7
06-04-2007, 07:16 PM
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Just going off pedigree (I got these #'s from pedigree query)-
I am just wondering why everyone seems to think hard spun will have no problem with 12 f and is bred for it. Danzig is more known for sprinters I thought. His DI is 2.67 and his CD is .66. According to http://www.chef-de-race.com/dosage/review.htm those numbers would make him most effective at 9 - 9 1/2 furlongs, which would compliment his run in the Derby. I dont understand how that makes him great for 12 f. I'll go through the other horses- Curlin DI 4.00 and CD 1.05 - bred for 6 - 7 furlongs Rags to Riches - DI 3.00 CD .86 - bred for 7 to 9 furlongs I'mawildncrazyguy - DI 6.00 and CD1.07 - bred for short sprints! Tiago - DI 1.91 CD .31 - bred for 12 furlongs and beyond Slews Tizzy - DI 2.00 CD . 67 - bred 9 - 12 furlongs Digger - DI 4.33 CD 1.00 - Bred for eating and pooping Time Squared - DI 3.25 CD .91 - bred for around a mile Circular Quay - DI 2.08 CD .66 - bred 9-12 furlongs (probably wont run) So if you are going off only pedigree, Tiago and Slews Tizzy are your guys (may want to keep them in your exotics). Granted horses dont run to their pedigree always (Curlin), but I wouldnt say Hard Spun is a lock at 12f. I'll go through the past 10 Belmont winners and their pedigree for distance, maybe we can put things together. Jazil - DI = 3.00 CD = 0.89 Bred for 8 - 9 furlongs Afleet Alex - DI = 2.11 CD = 0.71 Bred for 11 furlongs Birdstone - DI = 1.77 CD = 0.33 Bred for 12 and beyond Empire Maker - DI = 1.88 CD = 0.42 bred for 12 and beyond Sarava - DI = 4.50 CD = 1.00 Bred for sprints Point Given - DI = 3.00 CD = 1.00 Bred for 9 furlongs or shorter Commendable - DI = 5.00 CD = 1.07 Bred for quarter horse races Lemon Drop Kid - DI = 2.62 CD = 0.79 Bred for 10 furlongs Victory Gallop - DI = 3.27 CD = 0.81 Bred for a mile and 70 Touch Gold - DI = 1.82 CD = 0.46 Bred for 12 furlongs So of the past 10 years, 1/2 of the horses were bred for 10 f or beyond. I guess this means that pedigree really has nothing to do with the Belmont!
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#8
06-04-2007, 03:54 PM
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__________________
http://www.facebook.com/cajungator26
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#9
06-04-2007, 03:56 PM
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Yes. He is better rested with four weeks off since his last race. I may be wrong and I will admit it if he doesn't run well, but right now I am thinking he is going to run a big race. He is ready to take on the big boys, whether or not he can handle them is what I am anxiously awaiting.
__________________
"Until one has loved an animal, part of their soul remains unawaken.
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#10
06-04-2007, 03:58 PM
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Under the assumption that Rags isn't going...it's either Hard Spun or Curlin. None of the other "contenders" on the list have proven they can beat these two.
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#11
06-04-2007, 04:00 PM
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Why do you say Rags has a shot? She hasn't faced them before? Has she even faced boys before?
__________________
"Until one has loved an animal, part of their soul remains unawaken.
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#12
06-04-2007, 04:05 PM
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Quote:
Quote:
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http://www.facebook.com/cajungator26
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#13
06-04-2007, 04:05 PM
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#14
06-04-2007, 04:15 PM
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hard spun is bred for 12f...of course his running style may or may not be conducive to the distance, but i'd put his chances up there ahead of much of the field.
the top three in the derby finished in the top three in the preakness. since one of them isn't going saturday, let's go with the fourth in the derby....
__________________
Books serve to show a man that those original thoughts of his aren't very new at all. Abraham Lincoln
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#15
06-04-2007, 04:03 PM
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__________________
http://www.facebook.com/cajungator26
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#16
06-04-2007, 04:09 PM
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You don't think a Tiznow colt can get a mile and a half? Shame on you! Hee hee. Just teasing. His mama is a great granddaughter of a triple crown winner ya know.
__________________
"Until one has loved an animal, part of their soul remains unawaken.
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#17
06-04-2007, 04:11 PM
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The early DRF PPs are up. Rags to Riches is in there if you want to check her out. http://www.drf.com/tc/belmont/2007/pps/pps.html
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#18
06-04-2007, 04:18 PM
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 and actually really like his pedigree because of the presence of Crozier in the 5th generation, BUT don't like him at a mile and a half.
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#19
06-04-2007, 03:53 PM
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Mike Smith FTW!
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