Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Search Today's Posts Mark Forums Read

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 05-21-2007, 08:04 PM
slotdirt's Avatar
slotdirt slotdirt is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 4,894
Default

I think ateam hit the nail on the head. I think Hard Spun can definitely be a factor, especially considering who we think will be heading to Belmont.
__________________
The world's foremost expert on virtually everything on the Redskins 2010 season: "Im going to go out on a limb here. I say they make the playoffs."
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 05-21-2007, 08:37 PM
Rileyoriley's Avatar
Rileyoriley Rileyoriley is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: The Snowy Woods
Posts: 4,484
Default

The pace is usually slower in the belmont as well so that would benefit Hard Spun. I think the rest that are planning to go are either raters or closers. The only one I don't know is the french horse mentioned on the bloodhorse website.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 05-21-2007, 08:39 PM
Rileyoriley's Avatar
Rileyoriley Rileyoriley is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: The Snowy Woods
Posts: 4,484
Default

Cristobal is the french horse. Anyone know anything about him?
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 05-21-2007, 09:00 PM
sumitas sumitas is offline
Santa Anita
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 3,362
Default

Hard Spun could steal the race unless they replace pino with franklin.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 05-21-2007, 09:05 PM
ALostTexan's Avatar
ALostTexan ALostTexan is offline
Sheepshead Bay
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 1,101
Default

I think Hard Spun may very well take it, and that Curlin will be way overbet. In other words, the obvious observations...

ALostTexan
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 05-21-2007, 09:14 PM
miraja2's Avatar
miraja2 miraja2 is offline
Arlington Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Chicago
Posts: 4,157
Default

I do feel that for the most part Hard Spun will do his best work in the 8.5f-9f range. While he certainly has a dam-side pedigree that indicates 10f or longer, he does not seem able to relax very well down the backside.
What the horse does do well is get up to full speed quickly, and then maintain that speed for far longer than most horses with his early acceleration.
I can see why some may like his chances here, because he has that dam-side pedigree, and there shouldn't be a lot of competition on the front end, and who knows, the way he faded at Pimlico may mean he is the right price in this race.
On the whole though, I don't like his chances, because even though the race may set up for him to potentially get the half in :48 & change, I highly doubt he will actually do that unless Mario decides to do his best Jose Santos impression and strangle the horse back. I think he'll burn himself out.....but I am glad they are taking a shot with him here. We really don't need another Belmont like last year's edition.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 05-21-2007, 09:18 PM
tycharles01 tycharles01 is offline
Hollywood Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 427
Default

I think he can get the distance, but he does not look comfy in the stretch. Past 2 races he looks tight like he is startled or something


Biggest thing to consider is WildCrazyGuy

We have already heard he loves the distance and if the speed dies
BIG HIT at NICE PRICE
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 05-21-2007, 09:24 PM
Zippy Chippy Zippy Chippy is offline
Pimlico
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 67
Default

With the slower pace of the Belmont, I definitely think Hard Spun has a good shot at winning it. He would have had a good shot at the Preakness if Pino had kept him off the pace instead of making a move with 5 1/2 furlongs to go. He's a game horse and with a better jockey he'll have a much better chance at winning it.
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 05-21-2007, 09:29 PM
hoovesupsideyourhead's Avatar
hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
"The Kentucky Killing Machine"
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: florida
Posts: 16,278
Default

could it be d -money
Reply With Quote
Reply


Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 03:58 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.